Value Assessment
Home Win
4.11
30% pred
+5.6%
VALUE
Draw
3.96
22% pred
-3.5%
Away Win
1.72
48% pred
-9.8%
BTTS Yes
1.51
50%
BTTS No
2.43
41%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
4.11
+5.6% edge
30% probability
Expected value: +0.23 units per bet
Confidence
Low
55%
Key Insights
Title Race
St. Gallen in position 2, 3 points behind leader - competing for title
High impactRelegation Zone
Winterthur in position 12 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactAway Specialist
St. Gallen exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)
Medium impactHigh Scoring
Winterthur involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactMatch Normality
100%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Wed, Feb 18 2026
·
18:00
Venue
Stadion Schützenwiese
(Winterthur)
Competition
Super League
·
20
Coaches
Patrick Rahmen
Winterthur
Enrico Maaßen
St. Gallen
Referee
Alessandro Dudic
Recent Form
Winterthur
2W 0D 3L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
W
H
Lausanne Sport
2-1
Lausanne Sport
2-1
L
H
Thun
1-4
Thun
1-4
L
H
Basel
1-2
Basel
1-2
L
H
Grasshopper
0-1
Grasshopper
0-1
W
H
Servette
4-2
Servette
4-2
2W 0D 3L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
W
H
Lausanne Sport
2-1
Lausanne Sport
2-1
L
H
Thun
1-4
Thun
1-4
L
H
Basel
1-2
Basel
1-2
L
H
Grasshopper
0-1
Grasshopper
0-1
W
H
Servette
4-2
Servette
4-2
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2.8 GA
L
A
Lugano
1-4
Lugano
1-4
L
A
Sion
0-2
Sion
0-2
D
A
Zürich
2-2
Zürich
2-2
W
A
Luzern
3-1
Luzern
3-1
L
A
Young Boys
0-5
Young Boys
0-5
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2.6 GA
W
H
Lausanne Sport
2-1
Lausanne Sport
2-1
L
A
Lugano
1-4
Lugano
1-4
L
A
Sion
0-2
Sion
0-2
L
H
Thun
1-4
Thun
1-4
D
A
Zürich
2-2
Zürich
2-2
St. Gallen
3W 2D 0L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
D
A
Luzern
2-2
Luzern
2-2
W
A
Grasshopper
2-1
Grasshopper
2-1
W
A
Thun
2-0
Thun
2-0
D
A
Basel
0-0
Basel
0-0
W
A
Lugano
3-1
Lugano
3-1
2W 0D 3L
1.6 GF · 2.2 GA
L
H
Servette
2-4
Servette
2-4
W
H
Sion
3-1
Sion
3-1
L
H
Zürich
1-2
Zürich
1-2
W
H
Lausanne Sport
1-0
Lausanne Sport
1-0
L
H
Young Boys
1-4
Young Boys
1-4
3W 2D 0L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
D
A
Luzern
2-2
Luzern
2-2
W
A
Grasshopper
2-1
Grasshopper
2-1
W
A
Thun
2-0
Thun
2-0
D
A
Basel
0-0
Basel
0-0
W
A
Lugano
3-1
Lugano
3-1
3W 1D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
Luzern
2-2
Luzern
2-2
L
H
Servette
2-4
Servette
2-4
W
A
Grasshopper
2-1
Grasshopper
2-1
W
H
Sion
3-1
Sion
3-1
W
A
Thun
2-0
Thun
2-0
Sidelined Players
Winterthur
7 out
Dario Ulrich
injury
Loïc Lüthi
injury
Souleymane Diaby
injury
Basil Stillhart
injury
Luca Zuffi
injury
+2 more
St. Gallen
9 out
Colin Kleine-Bekel
injury
Enoch Owusu
injury
Corsin Konietzke
injury
Betim Fazliji
injury
Behar Neziri
injury
+4 more
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Winterthur
5
50%
Draws
2
20%
St. Gallen
3
30%
Avg Goals
4.1
BTTS
70%
League Signals
Predictability
52%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
28%
BTTS
61%
Over 2.5
57%
Final Words
Winterthur have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches.