Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim - Bundesliga Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

3.63

31% pred

+3.8%

MARGINAL

Draw

3.69

27% pred

-0.1%

Away Win

1.96

42% pred

-9.3%

BTTS Yes 1.56 44%

BTTS No 2.37 45%

Key Insights

Streak Watch

Werder Bremen without a win in 5 games (2 draws, 3 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Streak Watch

TSG Hoffenheim unbeaten in 5 games (4 wins, 1 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 43.9% BTTS vs 64.1% market consensus - lower probability, 20.2% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

65%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff

Tue, Jan 27 2026 · 19:30

Venue

Wohninvest Weserstadion (Bremen)

Competition

Bundesliga · 16

Coaches

Daniel Thioune

Werder Bremen

Christian Ilzer

TSG Hoffenheim

Referee

Frank Willenborg

Related Coverage

League season story Werder Bremen form report TSG Hoffenheim form report

Recent Form

Werder Bremen

0W 3D 2L

1 GF · 2.2 GA

D H

Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1

L H

TSG Hoffenheim 0-2

D H

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3

L H

VfB Stuttgart 0-4

D H

FC Köln 1-1

0W 3D 2L

1 GF · 2.2 GA

D H

Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1

L H

TSG Hoffenheim 0-2

D H

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3

L H

VfB Stuttgart 0-4

D H

FC Köln 1-1

0W 1D 4L

0.4 GF · 1.6 GA

L A

SC Freiburg 0-1

L A

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-1

L A

Borussia Dortmund 0-3

D A

FC Augsburg 0-0

L A

Hamburger SV 2-3

0W 2D 3L

0.8 GF · 1.6 GA

L A

SC Freiburg 0-1

D H

Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1

L H

TSG Hoffenheim 0-2

L A

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0-1

D H

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3

TSG Hoffenheim

2W 1D 2L

1.2 GF · 1.6 GA

L A

FC Bayern München 1-5

W A

Werder Bremen 2-0

W A

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1

D A

VfB Stuttgart 0-0

L A

Borussia Dortmund 0-2

5W 0D 0L

3.2 GF · 0.6 GA

W H

FC Union Berlin 3-1

W H

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-0

W H

Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-1

W H

Hamburger SV 4-1

W H

FC Augsburg 3-0

2W 1D 2L

1.2 GF · 1.6 GA

L A

FC Bayern München 1-5

W A

Werder Bremen 2-0

W A

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1

D A

VfB Stuttgart 0-0

L A

Borussia Dortmund 0-2

4W 0D 1L

2 GF · 1.4 GA

L A

FC Bayern München 1-5

W H

FC Union Berlin 3-1

W A

Werder Bremen 2-0

W A

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1

W H

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-0

Sidelined Players

Werder Bremen 6 out

Niklas Stark

injury

Victor Boniface

injury

Mitchell Weiser

injury

Maximilian Wöber

injury

Amos Pieper

injury

+1 more

TSG Hoffenheim 11 out

Ihlas Bebou

injury

Koki Machida

injury

Cole Campbell

injury

Alexander Prass

injury

Grischa Prömel

injury

+6 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Werder Bremen

2

20%

Draws

1

10%

TSG Hoffenheim

7

70%

Avg Goals

3.6

BTTS

70%

League Signals

Predictability

55%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+9%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

3.1

HIGH

Draw Rate

25%

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

60%

Final Words

Werder Bremen have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. TSG Hoffenheim arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games. The head-to-head favors TSG Hoffenheim in recent meetings.