Value Assessment
Home Win
2.30
53% pred
+9.0%
VALUE
Draw
3.32
24% pred
-6.4%
Away Win
3.00
24% pred
-9.5%
BTTS Yes
1.75
48%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
2.30
+9.0% edge
53% probability
Expected value: +0.21 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
65%
Match Info
Kickoff
Thu, Jan 1 2026
·
15:00
Venue
Vicarage Road
(Watford)
Competition
Championship
·
25
Coaches
Edward Still
Watford
Chris Davies
Birmingham City
Referee
Lewis Smith
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Watford
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Swansea City
0-2
Swansea City
0-2
D
H
Portsmouth
1-1
Portsmouth
1-1
L
H
Millwall
0-2
Millwall
0-2
W
H
Birmingham City
3-0
Birmingham City
3-0
W
H
Stoke City
1-0
Stoke City
1-0
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Swansea City
0-2
Swansea City
0-2
D
H
Portsmouth
1-1
Portsmouth
1-1
L
H
Millwall
0-2
Millwall
0-2
W
H
Birmingham City
3-0
Birmingham City
3-0
W
H
Stoke City
1-0
Stoke City
1-0
1W 2D 2L
0.6 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
Southampton
0-1
Southampton
0-1
D
A
Hull City
0-0
Hull City
0-0
D
A
Blackburn Rovers
1-1
Blackburn Rovers
1-1
L
A
Bristol City
1-5
Bristol City
1-5
W
A
Norwich City
1-0
Norwich City
1-0
0W 3D 2L
0.4 GF · 1 GA
L
A
Southampton
0-1
Southampton
0-1
D
A
Hull City
0-0
Hull City
0-0
L
H
Swansea City
0-2
Swansea City
0-2
D
A
Blackburn Rovers
1-1
Blackburn Rovers
1-1
D
H
Portsmouth
1-1
Portsmouth
1-1
Birmingham City
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W
A
Oxford United
2-0
Oxford United
2-0
W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
D
A
Swansea City
1-1
Swansea City
1-1
W
A
Cambridge United
3-2
Cambridge United
3-2
L
A
Watford
0-3
Watford
0-3
2W 3D 0L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Leicester City
2-1
Leicester City
2-1
D
H
Stoke City
1-1
Stoke City
1-1
W
H
Coventry City
3-2
Coventry City
3-2
D
H
Southampton
1-1
Southampton
1-1
D
H
Derby County
1-1
Derby County
1-1
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W
A
Oxford United
2-0
Oxford United
2-0
W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
D
A
Swansea City
1-1
Swansea City
1-1
W
A
Cambridge United
3-2
Cambridge United
3-2
L
A
Watford
0-3
Watford
0-3
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Leicester City
2-1
Leicester City
2-1
W
A
Oxford United
2-0
Oxford United
2-0
D
H
Stoke City
1-1
Stoke City
1-1
W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
Sheffield Wednesday
2-0
D
A
Swansea City
1-1
Swansea City
1-1
Sidelined Players
Watford
1 out
Rocco Vata
injury
Birmingham City
2 out
Ethan Laird
injury
Ethan Laird
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Watford
7
70%
Draws
1
10%
Birmingham City
2
20%
Avg Goals
2.2
BTTS
30%
League Signals
Predictability
50%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%
Final Words
Watford have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. Historically, Watford have dominated this fixture.