Value Assessment
Home Win
6.86
21% pred
+6.5%
VALUE
Draw
4.39
23% pred
-0.2%
Away Win
1.44
56% pred
-13.1%
BTTS Yes
2.04
48%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
6.86
+6.5% edge
21% probability
Expected value: +0.44 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
71%
Match Info
Kickoff
Tue, Dec 23 2025
·
20:45
Venue
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
(Guimarães)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
15
Coaches
Luís Correia Pinto
Vitória Guimarães
Referee
Miguel Bertolo Nogueira
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Vitória Guimarães
2W 1D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Moreirense
1-0
Moreirense
1-0
L
H
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
L
H
Sporting CP
1-4
Sporting CP
1-4
D
H
Gil Vicente
0-0
Gil Vicente
0-0
2W 1D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Moreirense
1-0
Moreirense
1-0
L
H
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
L
H
Sporting CP
1-4
Sporting CP
1-4
D
H
Gil Vicente
0-0
Gil Vicente
0-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
Arouca
2-3
Arouca
2-3
L
A
Estoril
2-4
Estoril
2-4
D
A
Casa Pia
0-0
Casa Pia
0-0
W
A
Rio Ave
1-0
Rio Ave
1-0
W
A
Tondela
1-0
Tondela
1-0
2W 0D 3L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Arouca
2-3
Arouca
2-3
W
H
Moreirense
1-0
Moreirense
1-0
L
A
Estoril
2-4
Estoril
2-4
L
H
Porto
0-1
Porto
0-1
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
Sporting CP
3W 2D 0L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
D
A
Porto
1-1
Porto
1-1
W
A
Athletic Club
3-2
Athletic Club
3-2
W
A
Arouca
2-1
Arouca
2-1
D
A
Gil Vicente
1-1
Gil Vicente
1-1
W
A
Vitória Guimarães
4-1
Vitória Guimarães
4-1
5W 0D 0L
3.4 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
W
H
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
W
H
Casa Pia
3-0
Casa Pia
3-0
W
H
Rio Ave
4-0
Rio Ave
4-0
W
H
AVS
6-0
AVS
6-0
3W 2D 0L
2.2 GF · 1.2 GA
D
A
Porto
1-1
Porto
1-1
W
A
Athletic Club
3-2
Athletic Club
3-2
W
A
Arouca
2-1
Arouca
2-1
D
A
Gil Vicente
1-1
Gil Vicente
1-1
W
A
Vitória Guimarães
4-1
Vitória Guimarães
4-1
4W 1D 0L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
D
A
Porto
1-1
Porto
1-1
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
W
A
Athletic Club
3-2
Athletic Club
3-2
W
A
Arouca
2-1
Arouca
2-1
W
H
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
Sidelined Players
Vitória Guimarães
1 out
Óscar Rivas
injury
Sporting CP
5 out
Pedro Gonçalves
suspended
Pedro Gonçalves
injury
Maxi Araújo
suspended
Jeremiah St. Juste
injury
Geovany Quenda
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Vitória Guimarães
1
10%
Draws
1
10%
Sporting CP
8
80%
Avg Goals
3.4
BTTS
40%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
Sporting CP arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games. The head-to-head favors Sporting CP in recent meetings.