Value Assessment
Home Win
1.83
37% pred
-18.0%
Draw
3.65
28% pred
+1.0%
Away Win
4.22
35% pred
+11.3%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.78
49%
BTTS No
1.99
46%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
4.22
+11.3% edge
35% probability
Expected value: +0.48 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
66%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
VfL Wolfsburg in position 14 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactRelegation Zone
St. Pauli in position 17 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactMust Win
St. Pauli in position 17 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactHigh Scoring
VfL Wolfsburg involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactMatch Normality
90%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Wed, Jan 14 2026
·
17:30
Venue
Volkswagen Arena
(Wolfsburg)
Competition
Bundesliga
·
17
Coaches
Daniel Bauer
VfL Wolfsburg
Alexander Blessin
St. Pauli
Referee
Frank Willenborg
Related Coverage
Recent Form
VfL Wolfsburg
2W 1D 2L
2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
D
H
Heidenheim
1-1
Heidenheim
1-1
W
H
St. Pauli
2-1
St. Pauli
2-1
L
H
SC Freiburg
3-4
SC Freiburg
3-4
W
H
FC Union Berlin
3-1
FC Union Berlin
3-1
2W 1D 2L
2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
D
H
Heidenheim
1-1
Heidenheim
1-1
W
H
St. Pauli
2-1
St. Pauli
2-1
L
H
SC Freiburg
3-4
SC Freiburg
3-4
W
H
FC Union Berlin
3-1
FC Union Berlin
3-1
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2.8 GA
L
A
FC Köln
0-1
FC Köln
0-1
L
A
FSV Mainz 05
1-3
FSV Mainz 05
1-3
L
A
FC Bayern München
1-8
FC Bayern München
1-8
W
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3-1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3-1
D
A
Eintracht Frankfurt
1-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
1-1
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
L
A
FC Köln
0-1
FC Köln
0-1
L
A
FSV Mainz 05
1-3
FSV Mainz 05
1-3
D
H
Heidenheim
1-1
Heidenheim
1-1
W
H
St. Pauli
2-1
St. Pauli
2-1
St. Pauli
0W 2D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L
A
FC Augsburg
1-2
FC Augsburg
1-2
L
A
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
L
A
VfL Wolfsburg
1-2
VfL Wolfsburg
1-2
D
A
FSV Mainz 05
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
0-0
D
A
FC Köln
1-1
FC Köln
1-1
2W 2D 1L
1 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
D
H
RB Leipzig
1-1
RB Leipzig
1-1
D
H
Hamburger SV
0-0
Hamburger SV
0-0
W
H
Heidenheim
2-1
Heidenheim
2-1
L
H
FC Union Berlin
0-1
FC Union Berlin
0-1
0W 2D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L
A
FC Augsburg
1-2
FC Augsburg
1-2
L
A
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
L
A
VfL Wolfsburg
1-2
VfL Wolfsburg
1-2
D
A
FSV Mainz 05
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
0-0
D
A
FC Köln
1-1
FC Köln
1-1
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
L
A
FC Augsburg
1-2
FC Augsburg
1-2
D
H
RB Leipzig
1-1
RB Leipzig
1-1
D
H
Hamburger SV
0-0
Hamburger SV
0-0
L
A
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
Sidelined Players
VfL Wolfsburg
13 out
Bence Dárdai
injury
Konstantinos Koulierakis
injury
Jakub Kamiński
injury
Joakim Maehle
injury
Rogério
injury
+8 more
St. Pauli
11 out
David Nemeth
injury
Joel Chima Fujita
injury
Connor Metcalfe
injury
Hauke Wahl
injury
Mathias Pereira Lage
injury
+6 more
Head-to-Head (Last 5)
VfL Wolfsburg
1
20%
Draws
4
80%
St. Pauli
0
0%
Avg Goals
2.2
BTTS
80%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%
Final Words
VfL Wolfsburg have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. St. Pauli have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, VfL Wolfsburg have dominated this fixture.