VfL Wolfsburg vs Heidenheim - Bundesliga Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

1.69

46% pred

-13.6%

Draw

3.99

27% pred

+2.0%

Away Win

4.61

27% pred

+5.6%

VALUE

BTTS Yes 1.61 55%

BTTS No 2.27 39%

Best Opportunity

VALUE

Away Win @ 4.61

+5.6% edge 27% probability

Expected value: +0.26 units per bet

Confidence

Medium

70%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Heidenheim in position 16 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Rotation Risk

VfL Wolfsburg has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Heidenheim has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

Heidenheim in position 16 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Heidenheim without a win in 5 games (2 draws, 3 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

High Scoring

VfL Wolfsburg involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

High Scoring

Heidenheim involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff

Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 14:30

Venue

Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg)

Competition

Bundesliga · 18

Coaches

Daniel Bauer

VfL Wolfsburg

Frank Schmidt

Heidenheim

Referee

Tobias Welz

Related Coverage

League season story VfL Wolfsburg form report Heidenheim form report

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

2W 1D 2L

2 GF · 1.8 GA

L H

Borussia Dortmund 1-2

D H

Heidenheim 1-1

W H

St. Pauli 2-1

L H

SC Freiburg 3-4

W H

FC Union Berlin 3-1

2W 1D 2L

2 GF · 1.8 GA

L H

Borussia Dortmund 1-2

D H

Heidenheim 1-1

W H

St. Pauli 2-1

L H

SC Freiburg 3-4

W H

FC Union Berlin 3-1

1W 1D 3L

1.2 GF · 2.8 GA

L A

FC Köln 0-1

L A

FSV Mainz 05 1-3

L A

FC Bayern München 1-8

W A

Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1

D A

Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1

1W 1D 3L

1 GF · 1.6 GA

L H

Borussia Dortmund 1-2

L A

FC Köln 0-1

L A

FSV Mainz 05 1-3

D H

Heidenheim 1-1

W H

St. Pauli 2-1

Heidenheim

1W 1D 3L

1.4 GF · 1.8 GA

L A

Borussia Dortmund 2-3

D A

VfL Wolfsburg 1-1

L A

FSV Mainz 05 1-2

L A

St. Pauli 1-2

W A

FC Union Berlin 2-1

1W 1D 3L

0.8 GF · 2.4 GA

L H

Hamburger SV 0-2

L H

RB Leipzig 0-3

D H

FC Köln 2-2

L H

FC Bayern München 0-4

W H

SC Freiburg 2-1

1W 1D 3L

1.4 GF · 1.8 GA

L A

Borussia Dortmund 2-3

D A

VfL Wolfsburg 1-1

L A

FSV Mainz 05 1-2

L A

St. Pauli 1-2

W A

FC Union Berlin 2-1

0W 1D 4L

0.8 GF · 2.2 GA

L H

Hamburger SV 0-2

L A

Borussia Dortmund 2-3

L H

RB Leipzig 0-3

D A

VfL Wolfsburg 1-1

L A

FSV Mainz 05 1-2

Sidelined Players

VfL Wolfsburg 13 out

Bence Dárdai

injury

Konstantinos Koulierakis

injury

Jakub Kamiński

injury

Joakim Maehle

injury

Rogério

injury

+8 more

Heidenheim 6 out

Luka Janes

injury

Leart Paçarada

injury

Adam Kölle

injury

Leonidas Stergiou

injury

Luka Janes

injury

+1 more

Head-to-Head (Last 6)

VfL Wolfsburg

3

50%

Draws

2

33%

Heidenheim

1

17%

Avg Goals

2.5

BTTS

67%

League Signals

Predictability

55%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+9%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

3.1

HIGH

Draw Rate

25%

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

60%

Final Words

VfL Wolfsburg have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Heidenheim have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5. Historically, VfL Wolfsburg have dominated this fixture.