Value Assessment
Home Win
1.34
57% pred
-17.5%
Draw
4.94
19% pred
-0.9%
Away Win
8.43
24% pred
+11.6%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
2.01
50%
BTTS No
1.74
41%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
8.43
+11.6% edge
24% probability
Expected value: +0.98 units per bet
Confidence
Low
57%
Key Insights
Title Race
Union Saint-Gilloise leading the table - high motivation to maintain position
High impactEuropean Race
Mechelen in position 5 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactMatch Normality
85%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 17 2026
·
19:45
Venue
Stade Joseph Mariën
(Brussels)
Competition
Pro League
·
21
Coaches
David Hubert
Union Saint-Gilloise
Frederik Vanderbiest
Mechelen
Referee
Bram Van Driessche
Recent Form
Union Saint-Gilloise
4W 0D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Club Brugge
1-0
Club Brugge
1-0
W
H
Atalanta
1-0
Atalanta
1-0
W
H
Mechelen
1-0
Mechelen
1-0
W
H
Zulte-Waregem
2-0
Zulte-Waregem
2-0
L
H
Olympique Marseille
2-3
Olympique Marseille
2-3
4W 0D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Club Brugge
1-0
Club Brugge
1-0
W
H
Atalanta
1-0
Atalanta
1-0
W
H
Mechelen
1-0
Mechelen
1-0
W
H
Zulte-Waregem
2-0
Zulte-Waregem
2-0
L
H
Olympique Marseille
2-3
Olympique Marseille
2-3
0W 3D 2L
0.4 GF · 1 GA
D
A
OH Leuven
0-0
OH Leuven
0-0
L
A
FC Bayern München
0-2
FC Bayern München
0-2
D
A
Cercle Brugge
1-1
Cercle Brugge
1-1
D
A
Sporting Charleroi
1-1
Sporting Charleroi
1-1
L
A
Anderlecht
0-1
Anderlecht
0-1
3W 1D 1L
0.6 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
Club Brugge
1-0
Club Brugge
1-0
W
H
Atalanta
1-0
Atalanta
1-0
D
A
OH Leuven
0-0
OH Leuven
0-0
L
A
FC Bayern München
0-2
FC Bayern München
0-2
W
H
Mechelen
1-0
Mechelen
1-0
Mechelen
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
D
A
OH Leuven
2-2
OH Leuven
2-2
L
A
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-1
L
A
Sint-Truiden
0-1
Sint-Truiden
0-1
W
A
Cercle Brugge
3-2
Cercle Brugge
3-2
W
A
Genk
1-0
Genk
1-0
1W 3D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.8 GA
D
H
Westerlo
1-1
Westerlo
1-1
D
H
Dender
1-1
Dender
1-1
W
H
Sporting Charleroi
1-0
Sporting Charleroi
1-0
L
H
Standard Liège
0-1
Standard Liège
0-1
D
H
Union Saint-Gilloise
1-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
1-1
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.2 GA
D
A
OH Leuven
2-2
OH Leuven
2-2
L
A
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-1
L
A
Sint-Truiden
0-1
Sint-Truiden
0-1
W
A
Cercle Brugge
3-2
Cercle Brugge
3-2
W
A
Genk
1-0
Genk
1-0
0W 3D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
D
A
OH Leuven
2-2
OH Leuven
2-2
D
H
Westerlo
1-1
Westerlo
1-1
L
A
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-1
D
H
Dender
1-1
Dender
1-1
L
A
Sint-Truiden
0-1
Sint-Truiden
0-1
Sidelined Players
Union Saint-Gilloise
2 out
Kevin Rodríguez
injury
Mamadou Thierno Barry
injury
Mechelen
5 out
Ortwin De Wolf
injury
Julien Ngoy
injury
Benito Raman
injury
Moncef Zekri
injury
Dikeni Salifou
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Union Saint-Gilloise
4
40%
Draws
2
20%
Mechelen
4
40%
Avg Goals
2.3
BTTS
40%
League Signals
Predictability
49%
LOW
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
56%
Over 2.5
56%
Final Words
Mechelen have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5.