Value Assessment
Home Win
3.02
39% pred
+5.7%
VALUE
Draw
3.51
27% pred
-1.9%
Away Win
2.28
35% pred
-9.3%
BTTS Yes
1.56
44%
BTTS No
2.35
45%
Key Insights
Rotation Risk
Union Saint-Gilloise has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactRotation Risk
Atalanta has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
High impactMust Win
Union Saint-Gilloise in position 31 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactMatch Normality
55%
Significant concerns
Match Info
Kickoff
Wed, Jan 28 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Lotto Park
(Brussels)
Competition
Champions League
·
League Stage
, 8
Coaches
David Hubert
Union Saint-Gilloise
Raffaele Palladino
Atalanta
Referee
Michael Oliver
Recent Form
Union Saint-Gilloise
4W 0D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Club Brugge
1-0
Club Brugge
1-0
W
H
Atalanta
1-0
Atalanta
1-0
W
H
Mechelen
1-0
Mechelen
1-0
W
H
Zulte-Waregem
2-0
Zulte-Waregem
2-0
L
H
Olympique Marseille
2-3
Olympique Marseille
2-3
4W 0D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Club Brugge
1-0
Club Brugge
1-0
W
H
Atalanta
1-0
Atalanta
1-0
W
H
Mechelen
1-0
Mechelen
1-0
W
H
Zulte-Waregem
2-0
Zulte-Waregem
2-0
L
H
Olympique Marseille
2-3
Olympique Marseille
2-3
0W 3D 2L
0.4 GF · 1 GA
D
A
OH Leuven
0-0
OH Leuven
0-0
L
A
FC Bayern München
0-2
FC Bayern München
0-2
D
A
Cercle Brugge
1-1
Cercle Brugge
1-1
D
A
Sporting Charleroi
1-1
Sporting Charleroi
1-1
L
A
Anderlecht
0-1
Anderlecht
0-1
3W 1D 1L
0.6 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
Club Brugge
1-0
Club Brugge
1-0
W
H
Atalanta
1-0
Atalanta
1-0
D
A
OH Leuven
0-0
OH Leuven
0-0
L
A
FC Bayern München
0-2
FC Bayern München
0-2
W
H
Mechelen
1-0
Mechelen
1-0
Atalanta
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.4 GA
D
A
Como
0-0
Como
0-0
L
A
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-1
D
A
Pisa
1-1
Pisa
1-1
W
A
Bologna
2-0
Bologna
2-0
W
A
Genoa
1-0
Genoa
1-0
3W 0D 2L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Parma
4-0
Parma
4-0
L
H
Athletic Club
2-3
Athletic Club
2-3
W
H
Torino
2-0
Torino
2-0
W
H
Roma
1-0
Roma
1-0
L
H
Inter
0-1
Inter
0-1
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.4 GA
D
A
Como
0-0
Como
0-0
L
A
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-1
D
A
Pisa
1-1
Pisa
1-1
W
A
Bologna
2-0
Bologna
2-0
W
A
Genoa
1-0
Genoa
1-0
1W 2D 2L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
D
A
Como
0-0
Como
0-0
L
A
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-1
W
H
Parma
4-0
Parma
4-0
L
H
Athletic Club
2-3
Athletic Club
2-3
D
A
Pisa
1-1
Pisa
1-1
Sidelined Players
Union Saint-Gilloise
2 out
Kevin Rodríguez
injury
Mamadou Thierno Barry
injury
Atalanta
0 out
No reported absences
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
Union Saint-Gilloise
1
100%
Draws
0
0%
Atalanta
0
0%
Avg Goals
1.0
BTTS
0%
League Signals
Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
20%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
57%
Final Words
Atalanta have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.