TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.33
39% pred
-3.7%
Draw
3.66
23% pred
-4.7%
Away Win
2.78
38% pred
+2.2%
BTTS Yes 1.44 56%
BTTS No 2.69 38%

Key Insights

European Race

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim in position 3 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

European Race

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bayer 04 Leverkusen in position 6 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bayer 04 Leverkusen has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Away Specialist

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bayer 04 Leverkusen exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Medium impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 14:30
Venue
PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)
Competition
Bundesliga · 18
Coaches
Christian Ilzer
Christian Ilzer
TSG Hoffenheim
Kasper Hjulmand
Kasper Hjulmand
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Referee
Daniel Schlager Daniel Schlager

Recent Form

TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
5W 0D 0L
3.2 GF · 0.6 GA
W H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-1
W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-0
W H Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-1
W H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 4-1
W H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3-0
5W 0D 0L
3.2 GF · 0.6 GA
W H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-1
W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-0
W H Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-1
W H Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 4-1
W H FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
L A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-5
W A Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-0
W A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1
D A VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 0-0
L A Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-2
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 1.4 GA
L A FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-5
W H FC Union Berlin FC Union Berlin 3-1
W A Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-0
W A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1
W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
D A Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1
W A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1
L A Olympiacos F.C. Olympiacos F.C. 0-2
L A TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 0-1
W A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-1
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Villarreal Villarreal 3-0
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-0
L H VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1-4
W H FC Köln FC Köln 2-0
D H Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-2
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
D A Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1
W A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1
L A Olympiacos F.C. Olympiacos F.C. 0-2
L A TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 0-1
W A RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-1
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
D A Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1
W A Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1
W H Villarreal Villarreal 3-0
W H Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-0
L A Olympiacos F.C. Olympiacos F.C. 0-2

Sidelined Players

TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim 11 out
Ihlas Bebou
Ihlas Bebou
injury
Koki Machida
Koki Machida
injury
Cole Campbell
Cole Campbell
injury
Alexander Prass
Alexander Prass
injury
Grischa Prömel
Grischa Prömel
injury

+6 more

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6 out
Nathan Tella
Nathan Tella
injury
Mark Flekken
Mark Flekken
suspended
Mark Flekken
Mark Flekken
injury
Tim Oermann
Tim Oermann
injury
Eliesse Ben Seghir
Eliesse Ben Seghir
injury

+1 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

TSG Hoffenheim
3
30%
Draws
1
10%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
6
60%
Avg Goals
3.8
BTTS
80%

League Signals

Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%

Final Words

TSG Hoffenheim enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches.