Value Assessment
Home Win
2.57
25% pred
-13.9%
Draw
3.27
26% pred
-4.2%
Away Win
2.75
49% pred
+12.3%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.72
50%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
2.75
+12.3% edge
49% probability
Expected value: +0.34 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
65%
Match Info
Kickoff
Fri, Jan 2 2026
·
19:45
Venue
Stadium de Toulouse
(Toulouse)
Competition
Ligue 1
·
17
Coaches
Carles Martínez Novell
Toulouse
Pierre Sage
Lens
Referee
Mathieu Vernice
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Toulouse
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Auxerre
0-0
Auxerre
0-0
W
H
Nice
5-1
Nice
5-1
L
H
Lens
0-3
Lens
0-3
W
H
Strasbourg
1-0
Strasbourg
1-0
L
H
Angers SCO
0-1
Angers SCO
0-1
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Auxerre
0-0
Auxerre
0-0
W
H
Nice
5-1
Nice
5-1
L
H
Lens
0-3
Lens
0-3
W
H
Strasbourg
1-0
Strasbourg
1-0
L
H
Angers SCO
0-1
Angers SCO
0-1
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
L
A
Angers SCO
0-1
Angers SCO
0-1
W
A
Brest
2-0
Brest
2-0
W
A
Paris
3-0
Paris
3-0
D
A
Olympique Marseille
2-2
Olympique Marseille
2-2
D
A
Lorient
1-1
Lorient
1-1
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
L
A
Angers SCO
0-1
Angers SCO
0-1
D
H
Auxerre
0-0
Auxerre
0-0
W
A
Brest
2-0
Brest
2-0
W
H
Nice
5-1
Nice
5-1
L
H
Lens
0-3
Lens
0-3
Lens
4W 0D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Olympique Marseille
1-3
Olympique Marseille
1-3
W
A
Toulouse
3-0
Toulouse
3-0
W
A
Nantes
2-1
Nantes
2-1
W
A
Angers SCO
2-1
Angers SCO
2-1
W
A
Monaco
4-1
Monaco
4-1
5W 0D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.2 GA
W
H
Rennes
3-1
Rennes
3-1
W
H
Le Havre
1-0
Le Havre
1-0
W
H
Auxerre
1-0
Auxerre
1-0
W
H
Nice
2-0
Nice
2-0
W
H
Strasbourg
1-0
Strasbourg
1-0
4W 0D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Olympique Marseille
1-3
Olympique Marseille
1-3
W
A
Toulouse
3-0
Toulouse
3-0
W
A
Nantes
2-1
Nantes
2-1
W
A
Angers SCO
2-1
Angers SCO
2-1
W
A
Monaco
4-1
Monaco
4-1
4W 0D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Rennes
3-1
Rennes
3-1
W
H
Le Havre
1-0
Le Havre
1-0
L
A
Olympique Marseille
1-3
Olympique Marseille
1-3
W
H
Auxerre
1-0
Auxerre
1-0
W
A
Toulouse
3-0
Toulouse
3-0
Sidelined Players
Toulouse
4 out
Frank Magri
injury
Abu Francis
injury
Frank Magri
suspension
Dayann Methalie
injury
Lens
4 out
Ruben Aguilar
suspended
Jonathan Gradit
injury
Régis Gurtner
injury
Anass Zaroury
suspension
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Toulouse
2
20%
Draws
1
10%
Lens
7
70%
Avg Goals
1.9
BTTS
20%
League Signals
Predictability
54%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.8
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
56%
Over 2.5
54%
Final Words
Lens arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games. The head-to-head favors Lens in recent meetings.