Value Assessment
Home Win
2.00
35% pred
-14.7%
Draw
3.22
29% pred
-2.2%
Away Win
3.88
36% pred
+10.1%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
2.04
45%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
3.88
+10.1% edge
36% probability
Expected value: +0.39 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
70%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Dec 21 2025
·
18:00
Venue
Estádio João Cardoso
(Tondela)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
15
Coaches
Cristiano Bacci
Tondela
Álvaro Teixeira Pacheco
Casa Pia
Referee
Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Tondela
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
D
H
Benfica
0-0
Benfica
0-0
L
H
Sporting Braga
0-1
Sporting Braga
0-1
W
H
Arouca
3-1
Arouca
3-1
L
H
Casa Pia
1-2
Casa Pia
1-2
L
H
Porto
0-2
Porto
0-2
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.2 GA
D
H
Benfica
0-0
Benfica
0-0
L
H
Sporting Braga
0-1
Sporting Braga
0-1
W
H
Arouca
3-1
Arouca
3-1
L
H
Casa Pia
1-2
Casa Pia
1-2
L
H
Porto
0-2
Porto
0-2
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
D
A
Estoril
2-2
Estoril
2-2
L
A
Famalicão
0-3
Famalicão
0-3
L
A
Moreirense
0-1
Moreirense
0-1
L
A
Nacional
1-3
Nacional
1-3
W
A
Gil Vicente
1-0
Gil Vicente
1-0
0W 2D 3L
0.4 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Estoril
2-2
Estoril
2-2
D
H
Benfica
0-0
Benfica
0-0
L
A
Famalicão
0-3
Famalicão
0-3
L
H
Sporting Braga
0-1
Sporting Braga
0-1
L
A
Moreirense
0-1
Moreirense
0-1
Casa Pia
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
Nacional
0-0
Nacional
0-0
L
A
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
L
A
Rio Ave
1-3
Rio Ave
1-3
W
A
Tondela
2-1
Tondela
2-1
L
A
Santa Clara
0-1
Santa Clara
0-1
1W 3D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Porto
2-1
Porto
2-1
D
H
AVS
3-3
AVS
3-3
D
H
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
D
H
Gil Vicente
1-1
Gil Vicente
1-1
L
H
Alverca
0-2
Alverca
0-2
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
Nacional
0-0
Nacional
0-0
L
A
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
L
A
Rio Ave
1-3
Rio Ave
1-3
W
A
Tondela
2-1
Tondela
2-1
L
A
Santa Clara
0-1
Santa Clara
0-1
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
D
A
Nacional
0-0
Nacional
0-0
W
H
Porto
2-1
Porto
2-1
D
H
AVS
3-3
AVS
3-3
L
A
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
L
A
Rio Ave
1-3
Rio Ave
1-3
Sidelined Players
Tondela
0 out
No reported absences
Casa Pia
1 out
Clau Mendes
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
Tondela
0
0%
Draws
0
0%
Casa Pia
1
100%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
100%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
Tondela have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. Casa Pia have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.