Value Assessment
Home Win
3.22
21% pred
-10.5%
Draw
3.62
24% pred
-3.7%
Away Win
2.11
56% pred
+8.2%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.54
50%
BTTS No
2.35
42%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
2.11
+8.2% edge
56% probability
Expected value: +0.17 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
66%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Telstar in position 16 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactEuropean Race
AZ in position 5 - competing for Conference League qualification
High impactBTTS Tendency
Telstar matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactTop Scorer
AZ has Troy Parrott ranked #4 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMatch Normality
90%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Jan 25 2026
·
11:15
Venue
BUKO Stadion
(Velsen)
Competition
Eredivisie
·
20
Coaches
Anthony Correia
Telstar
Leeroy Echteld
AZ
Referee
Robin Hensgens
Recent Form
Telstar
0W 2D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
AZ
0-1
AZ
0-1
L
H
Ajax
2-3
Ajax
2-3
D
H
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
L
H
Feyenoord
1-2
Feyenoord
1-2
D
H
FC Utrecht
1-1
FC Utrecht
1-1
0W 2D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
AZ
0-1
AZ
0-1
L
H
Ajax
2-3
Ajax
2-3
D
H
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
NEC Nijmegen
2-2
L
H
Feyenoord
1-2
Feyenoord
1-2
D
H
FC Utrecht
1-1
FC Utrecht
1-1
1W 3D 1L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
L
A
PEC Zwolle
1-4
PEC Zwolle
1-4
D
A
Excelsior
2-2
Excelsior
2-2
W
A
NAC Breda
1-0
NAC Breda
1-0
D
A
Heracles Almelo
1-1
Heracles Almelo
1-1
D
A
FC Twente
0-0
FC Twente
0-0
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
L
A
PEC Zwolle
1-4
PEC Zwolle
1-4
L
H
AZ
0-1
AZ
0-1
D
A
Excelsior
2-2
Excelsior
2-2
L
H
Ajax
2-3
Ajax
2-3
W
A
NAC Breda
1-0
NAC Breda
1-0
AZ
2W 0D 3L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Telstar
1-0
Telstar
1-0
L
A
PEC Zwolle
1-3
PEC Zwolle
1-3
L
A
Fortuna Sittard
3-4
Fortuna Sittard
3-4
W
A
Drita
3-0
Drita
3-0
L
A
FC Twente
0-1
FC Twente
0-1
1W 3D 1L
1 GF · 1.2 GA
L
H
NEC Nijmegen
1-3
NEC Nijmegen
1-3
D
H
Excelsior
1-1
Excelsior
1-1
W
H
FC Volendam
1-0
FC Volendam
1-0
D
H
Jagiellonia Białystok
0-0
Jagiellonia Białystok
0-0
D
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
2W 0D 3L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Telstar
1-0
Telstar
1-0
L
A
PEC Zwolle
1-3
PEC Zwolle
1-3
L
A
Fortuna Sittard
3-4
Fortuna Sittard
3-4
W
A
Drita
3-0
Drita
3-0
L
A
FC Twente
0-1
FC Twente
0-1
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
NEC Nijmegen
1-3
NEC Nijmegen
1-3
W
A
Telstar
1-0
Telstar
1-0
D
H
Excelsior
1-1
Excelsior
1-1
L
A
PEC Zwolle
1-3
PEC Zwolle
1-3
W
H
FC Volendam
1-0
FC Volendam
1-0
Sidelined Players
Telstar
2 out
Cedric Hatenboer
suspended
Marouan El Ouardani
injury
AZ
5 out
Lequincio Zeefuik
injury
Sven Mijnans
injury
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro
injury
Mexx Meerdink
injury
Jordy Clasie
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 2)
Telstar
0
0%
Draws
0
0%
AZ
2
100%
Avg Goals
2.0
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%
Final Words
Telstar have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches.