Swansea City vs Birmingham City

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.68
33% pred
-4.8%
Draw
3.18
31% pred
+0.0%
Away Win
2.63
36% pred
-2.1%
BTTS Yes 1.81 50%
BTTS No 1.93 41%

Key Insights

Rotation Risk

Swansea City

Swansea City has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Birmingham City

Birmingham City has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

Swansea City

Swansea City in position 16 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 17:30
Venue
Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea)
Competition
Championship · 27
Coaches
Vitor Matos
Vitor Matos
Swansea City
Chris Davies
Chris Davies
Birmingham City
Referee
Tom Nield Tom Nield

Recent Form

Swansea City Swansea City
3W 2D 0L
2.2 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 4-0
W H Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 3-1
D H Birmingham City Birmingham City 1-1
D H West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 2-2
W H West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 1-0
3W 2D 0L
2.2 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 4-0
W H Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 3-1
D H Birmingham City Birmingham City 1-1
D H West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 2-2
W H West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 1-0
2W 0D 3L
1 GF · 1 GA
W A Watford Watford 2-0
L A Hull City Hull City 1-2
L A Millwall Millwall 1-2
W A Oxford United Oxford United 1-0
L A Coventry City Coventry City 0-1
3W 1D 1L
2.2 GF · 0.8 GA
W H Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 4-0
W A Watford Watford 2-0
L A Hull City Hull City 1-2
W H Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 3-1
D H Birmingham City Birmingham City 1-1
Birmingham City Birmingham City
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W A Oxford United Oxford United 2-0
W A Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-0
D A Swansea City Swansea City 1-1
W A Cambridge United Cambridge United 3-2
L A Watford Watford 0-3
2W 3D 0L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W H Leicester City Leicester City 2-1
D H Stoke City Stoke City 1-1
W H Coventry City Coventry City 3-2
D H Southampton Southampton 1-1
D H Derby County Derby County 1-1
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W A Oxford United Oxford United 2-0
W A Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-0
D A Swansea City Swansea City 1-1
W A Cambridge United Cambridge United 3-2
L A Watford Watford 0-3
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
W H Leicester City Leicester City 2-1
W A Oxford United Oxford United 2-0
D H Stoke City Stoke City 1-1
W A Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-0
D A Swansea City Swansea City 1-1

Sidelined Players

Swansea City Swansea City 0 out

No reported absences

Birmingham City Birmingham City 2 out
Ethan Laird
Ethan Laird
injury
Ethan Laird
Ethan Laird
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Swansea City
0
0%
Draws
6
60%
Birmingham City
4
40%
Avg Goals
2.4
BTTS
60%

League Signals

Predictability
50%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%

Final Words

The head-to-head favors Birmingham City in recent meetings.