Value Assessment
Home Win
3.42
41% pred
+11.5%
VALUE
Draw
3.32
26% pred
-3.8%
Away Win
2.16
33% pred
-13.3%
BTTS Yes
1.71
48%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
3.42
+11.5% edge
41% probability
Expected value: +0.39 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
71%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Dec 14 2025
·
14:00
Venue
Stadium of Light
(Sunderland)
Competition
Premier League
·
16
Coaches
Régis Le Bris
Sunderland
Eddie Howe
Newcastle United
Referee
Peter Bankes
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Sunderland
3W 2D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
Burnley
3-0
Burnley
3-0
W
H
Crystal Palace
2-1
Crystal Palace
2-1
D
H
Manchester City
0-0
Manchester City
0-0
D
H
Leeds United
1-1
Leeds United
1-1
W
H
Newcastle United
1-0
Newcastle United
1-0
3W 2D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
Burnley
3-0
Burnley
3-0
W
H
Crystal Palace
2-1
Crystal Palace
2-1
D
H
Manchester City
0-0
Manchester City
0-0
D
H
Leeds United
1-1
Leeds United
1-1
W
H
Newcastle United
1-0
Newcastle United
1-0
0W 2D 3L
0.6 GF · 2.2 GA
L
A
Arsenal
0-3
Arsenal
0-3
L
A
West Ham United
1-3
West Ham United
1-3
D
A
Everton
1-1
Everton
1-1
L
A
Brentford
0-3
Brentford
0-3
D
A
Tottenham Hotspur
1-1
Tottenham Hotspur
1-1
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
L
A
Arsenal
0-3
Arsenal
0-3
W
H
Burnley
3-0
Burnley
3-0
L
A
West Ham United
1-3
West Ham United
1-3
W
H
Crystal Palace
2-1
Crystal Palace
2-1
D
A
Everton
1-1
Everton
1-1
Newcastle United
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1
L
A
Manchester City
1-3
Manchester City
1-3
L
A
Liverpool
1-4
Liverpool
1-4
D
A
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
D
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
1W 1D 3L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
L
H
Brentford
2-3
Brentford
2-3
L
H
Aston Villa
0-2
Aston Villa
0-2
W
H
PSV
3-0
PSV
3-0
L
H
Manchester City
0-2
Manchester City
0-2
D
H
AFC Bournemouth
3-3
AFC Bournemouth
3-3
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1
L
A
Manchester City
1-3
Manchester City
1-3
L
A
Liverpool
1-4
Liverpool
1-4
D
A
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
D
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
1W 1D 3L
1.4 GF · 2.4 GA
W
A
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1
L
H
Brentford
2-3
Brentford
2-3
L
A
Manchester City
1-3
Manchester City
1-3
L
A
Liverpool
1-4
Liverpool
1-4
D
A
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
Sidelined Players
Sunderland
6 out
Aji Alese
injury
Bertrand Traoré
injury
Jocelin Ta Bi
injury
Harrison Jones
injury
Granit Xhaka
injury
+1 more
Newcastle United
5 out
Emil Krafth
suspended
Tino Livramento
injury
Fabian Schär
injury
Sven Botman
injury
Joelinton
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Sunderland
7
70%
Draws
2
20%
Newcastle United
1
10%
Avg Goals
2.2
BTTS
30%
League Signals
Predictability
46%
LOW
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
23%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
56%
Final Words
Newcastle United have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, Sunderland have dominated this fixture.