Value Assessment
Home Win
2.32
32% pred
-11.0%
Draw
2.98
30% pred
-3.5%
Away Win
3.25
38% pred
+7.0%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.90
37%
BTTS No
1.83
57%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
3.25
+7.0% edge
38% probability
Expected value: +0.23 units per bet
Confidence
Low
59%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Südtirol in position 17 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactMust Win
Südtirol in position 17 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactMatch Normality
100%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 10 2026
·
14:00
Venue
Stadio Marco Druso
(Bozen)
Competition
Serie B
·
19
Coaches
Fabrizio Castori
Südtirol
Roberto Donadoni
Spezia
Referee
Gianluca Manganiello
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Südtirol
3W 1D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Catanzaro
2-1
Catanzaro
2-1
W
H
Calcio Padova
3-0
Calcio Padova
3-0
W
H
Spezia
2-1
Spezia
2-1
D
H
Bari 1908
0-0
Bari 1908
0-0
L
H
Avellino
0-1
Avellino
0-1
3W 1D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Catanzaro
2-1
Catanzaro
2-1
W
H
Calcio Padova
3-0
Calcio Padova
3-0
W
H
Spezia
2-1
Spezia
2-1
D
H
Bari 1908
0-0
Bari 1908
0-0
L
H
Avellino
0-1
Avellino
0-1
1W 3D 1L
0.6 GF · 0.6 GA
D
A
Carrarese
0-0
Carrarese
0-0
W
A
Empoli
1-0
Empoli
1-0
L
A
Juve Stabia
0-1
Juve Stabia
0-1
D
A
Virtus Entella
1-1
Virtus Entella
1-1
D
A
Monza
1-1
Monza
1-1
4W 1D 0L
1.6 GF · 0.4 GA
D
A
Carrarese
0-0
Carrarese
0-0
W
H
Catanzaro
2-1
Catanzaro
2-1
W
H
Calcio Padova
3-0
Calcio Padova
3-0
W
A
Empoli
1-0
Empoli
1-0
W
H
Spezia
2-1
Spezia
2-1
Spezia
1W 0D 4L
0.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Sampdoria
0-1
Sampdoria
0-1
L
A
Palermo
0-1
Palermo
0-1
L
A
Südtirol
1-2
Südtirol
1-2
L
A
Frosinone
1-2
Frosinone
1-2
W
A
Virtus Entella
1-0
Virtus Entella
1-0
3W 1D 1L
1 GF · 0.8 GA
D
H
Virtus Entella
1-1
Virtus Entella
1-1
W
H
Avellino
1-0
Avellino
1-0
W
H
Pescara
2-1
Pescara
2-1
L
H
Modena
0-2
Modena
0-2
W
H
Sampdoria
1-0
Sampdoria
1-0
1W 0D 4L
0.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Sampdoria
0-1
Sampdoria
0-1
L
A
Palermo
0-1
Palermo
0-1
L
A
Südtirol
1-2
Südtirol
1-2
L
A
Frosinone
1-2
Frosinone
1-2
W
A
Virtus Entella
1-0
Virtus Entella
1-0
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Virtus Entella
1-1
Virtus Entella
1-1
L
A
Sampdoria
0-1
Sampdoria
0-1
W
H
Avellino
1-0
Avellino
1-0
L
A
Palermo
0-1
Palermo
0-1
L
A
Südtirol
1-2
Südtirol
1-2
Sidelined Players
Südtirol
2 out
Filipe Bordon
suspended
Jacopo Martini
injury
Spezia
0 out
No reported absences
Head-to-Head (Last 5)
Südtirol
1
20%
Draws
2
40%
Spezia
2
40%
Avg Goals
3.4
BTTS
80%
League Signals
Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.4
LOW
Draw Rate
32%
BTTS
52%
Over 2.5
44%
Final Words
Südtirol enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Spezia have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.