Just Football Predictions

Stoke City vs Southampton

Full Time
Championship Bet365 Stadium
Stoke City

Stoke City

0
-
2
Southampton

Southampton

Value Assessment Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.65
34% pred
-3.7%
Draw
3.26
27% pred
-3.2%
Away Win
2.57
39% pred
-0.4%
BTTS Yes 1.70 45%
BTTS No 2.07 43%

Key Insights

Dead Rubber

Both teams safe in mid-table with nothing to play for - reduced intensity expected

Medium impact

Top Scorer

Southampton

Southampton has Adam Armstrong ranked #4 in league scoring (11 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 31 2026 · 12:30
Venue
Bet365 Stadium (Stoke)
Competition
Championship · 30
Coaches
Mark Robins
Mark Robins
Stoke City
William Still
William Still
Southampton
Referee
Farai Hallam Farai Hallam
Related Coverage
League season story Stoke City form report Southampton form report

Recent Form

Stoke City Stoke City
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L H Southampton Southampton 0-2
L H Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-2
D H Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0
W H Coventry City Coventry City 1-0
L H Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-2
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L H Southampton Southampton 0-2
L H Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-2
D H Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0
W H Coventry City Coventry City 1-0
L H Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-2
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.4 GA
D A West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 0-0
D A Birmingham City Birmingham City 1-1
W A Norwich City Norwich City 2-0
W A Hull City Hull City 1-0
L A Watford Watford 0-1
0W 3D 2L
0.4 GF · 1 GA
D A West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 0-0
L H Southampton Southampton 0-2
D A Birmingham City Birmingham City 1-1
L H Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-2
D H Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0
Southampton Southampton
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Stoke City Stoke City 2-0
D A Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1
W A Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 3-2
L A Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-4
D A Birmingham City Birmingham City 1-1
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.6 GA
W H Watford Watford 1-0
W H Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-0
L H Hull City Hull City 1-2
D H Millwall Millwall 0-0
D H Coventry City Coventry City 1-1
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Stoke City Stoke City 2-0
D A Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1
W A Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 3-2
L A Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-4
D A Birmingham City Birmingham City 1-1
3W 1D 1L
1.2 GF · 0.6 GA
W H Watford Watford 1-0
W A Stoke City Stoke City 2-0
D A Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1
W H Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-0
L H Hull City Hull City 1-2

Sidelined Players

Stoke City Stoke City 3 out
Gavin Bazunu
Gavin Bazunu
injury
Bosun Lawal
Bosun Lawal
injury
Junior Tchamadeu
Junior Tchamadeu
injury
Southampton Southampton 5 out
Will Smallbone
Will Smallbone
injury
Kamaldeen Sulemana
Kamaldeen Sulemana
injury
Jack Stephens
Jack Stephens
injury
Cyle Larin
Cyle Larin
injury
Mads Roerslev
Mads Roerslev
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Stoke City
4
40%
Draws
2
20%
Southampton
4
40%
Avg Goals
1.9
BTTS
40%

League Signals

Predictability
50%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%

Final Words

Stoke City have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches.