Just Football Predictions

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough

Full Time
Championship Bet365 Stadium
Stoke City

Stoke City

1
-
2
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Value Assessment Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.88
35% pred
+0.7%
Draw
3.26
26% pred
-5.0%
Away Win
2.43
39% pred
-2.2%
BTTS Yes 1.77 48%
BTTS No 1.98 43%

Key Insights

Title Race

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough in position 2, 6 points behind leader - competing for title

Medium impact

Match Normality

80%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Wed, Jan 21 2026 · 20:00
Venue
Bet365 Stadium (Stoke)
Competition
Championship · 28
Coaches
Mark Robins
Mark Robins
Stoke City
Kim Hellberg
Kim Hellberg
Middlesbrough
Referee
Adam Herczeg Adam Herczeg
Related Coverage
League season story Stoke City form report Middlesbrough form report

Recent Form

Stoke City Stoke City
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L H Southampton Southampton 0-2
L H Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-2
D H Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0
W H Coventry City Coventry City 1-0
L H Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-2
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.2 GA
L H Southampton Southampton 0-2
L H Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-2
D H Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0
W H Coventry City Coventry City 1-0
L H Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-2
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.4 GA
D A West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 0-0
D A Birmingham City Birmingham City 1-1
W A Norwich City Norwich City 2-0
W A Hull City Hull City 1-0
L A Watford Watford 0-1
0W 3D 2L
0.4 GF · 1 GA
D A West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 0-0
L H Southampton Southampton 0-2
D A Birmingham City Birmingham City 1-1
L H Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-2
D H Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-1
W A Stoke City Stoke City 2-1
W A West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 3-2
L A Fulham Fulham 1-3
L A Derby County Derby County 0-1
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 0.2 GA
W H Norwich City Norwich City 1-0
W H Preston North End Preston North End 4-0
W H Southampton Southampton 4-0
L H Hull City Hull City 0-1
D H Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-0
3W 0D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-1
W A Stoke City Stoke City 2-1
W A West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 3-2
L A Fulham Fulham 1-3
L A Derby County Derby County 0-1
5W 0D 0L
2.4 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-1
W H Norwich City Norwich City 1-0
W H Preston North End Preston North End 4-0
W A Stoke City Stoke City 2-1
W A West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 3-2

Sidelined Players

Stoke City Stoke City 3 out
Gavin Bazunu
Gavin Bazunu
injury
Bosun Lawal
Bosun Lawal
injury
Junior Tchamadeu
Junior Tchamadeu
injury
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2 out
David Strelec
David Strelec
injury
Darragh Lenihan
Darragh Lenihan
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Stoke City
3
30%
Draws
3
30%
Middlesbrough
4
40%
Avg Goals
2.8
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
50%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%

Final Words

Stoke City have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. Middlesbrough arrive in strong form with 5 wins from 5 games.