St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig - Bundesliga Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

4.72

26% pred

+4.9%

MARGINAL

Draw

3.58

27% pred

-1.2%

Away Win

1.77

47% pred

-9.3%

BTTS Yes 1.92 43%

BTTS No 1.84 47%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

St. Pauli in position 17 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

European Race

RB Leipzig in position 5 - competing for Europa League qualification

High impact

Must Win

St. Pauli in position 17 with poor recent form (13% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

St. Pauli without a win in 5 games (3 draws, 2 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

BTTS Tendency

St. Pauli matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Top Scorer

RB Leipzig has Christoph Baumgartner ranked #9 in league scoring (6 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff

Tue, Jan 27 2026 · 19:30

Venue

Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)

Competition

Bundesliga · 16

Coaches

Alexander Blessin

St. Pauli

Ole Werner

RB Leipzig

Referee

Florian Exner

Related Coverage

League season story St. Pauli form report RB Leipzig form report

Recent Form

St. Pauli

2W 2D 1L

1 GF · 0.8 GA

W H

VfB Stuttgart 2-1

D H

RB Leipzig 1-1

D H

Hamburger SV 0-0

W H

Heidenheim 2-1

L H

FC Union Berlin 0-1

2W 2D 1L

1 GF · 0.8 GA

W H

VfB Stuttgart 2-1

D H

RB Leipzig 1-1

D H

Hamburger SV 0-0

W H

Heidenheim 2-1

L H

FC Union Berlin 0-1

0W 2D 3L

1 GF · 1.6 GA

L A

FC Augsburg 1-2

L A

Borussia Dortmund 2-3

L A

VfL Wolfsburg 1-2

D A

FSV Mainz 05 0-0

D A

FC Köln 1-1

1W 2D 2L

1.2 GF · 1.4 GA

W H

VfB Stuttgart 2-1

L A

FC Augsburg 1-2

D H

RB Leipzig 1-1

D H

Hamburger SV 0-0

L A

Borussia Dortmund 2-3

RB Leipzig

2W 2D 1L

1.4 GF · 1 GA

W A

FC Köln 2-1

D A

St. Pauli 1-1

W A

Heidenheim 3-0

L A

FC Union Berlin 1-3

D A

Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0

2W 0D 3L

2.2 GF · 2 GA

L H

FSV Mainz 05 1-2

L H

FC Bayern München 1-5

W H

SC Freiburg 2-0

L H

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-3

W H

Eintracht Frankfurt 6-0

2W 2D 1L

1.4 GF · 1 GA

W A

FC Köln 2-1

D A

St. Pauli 1-1

W A

Heidenheim 3-0

L A

FC Union Berlin 1-3

D A

Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0

2W 1D 2L

1.6 GF · 1.8 GA

W A

FC Köln 2-1

L H

FSV Mainz 05 1-2

D A

St. Pauli 1-1

W A

Heidenheim 3-0

L H

FC Bayern München 1-5

Sidelined Players

St. Pauli 11 out

David Nemeth

injury

Joel Chima Fujita

injury

Connor Metcalfe

injury

Hauke Wahl

injury

Mathias Pereira Lage

injury

+6 more

RB Leipzig 7 out

Kevin Kampl

injury

Xaver Schlager

injury

Suleiman Sani

injury

Assan Ouédraogo

injury

Castello Lukeba

injury

+2 more

Head-to-Head (Last 3)

St. Pauli

1

33%

Draws

2

67%

RB Leipzig

0

0%

Avg Goals

1.3

BTTS

33%

League Signals

Predictability

55%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+9%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

3.1

HIGH

Draw Rate

25%

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

60%

Final Words

St. Pauli have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Historically, St. Pauli have dominated this fixture.