Value Assessment
Home Win
2.80
41% pred
+4.8%
MARGINAL
Draw
2.93
28% pred
-6.0%
Away Win
2.79
31% pred
-4.6%
BTTS Yes
2.05
51%
BTTS No
1.73
44%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
St. Pauli in position 16 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactMust Win
St. Pauli in position 16 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactStreak Watch
Hamburger SV without a win in 5 games (3 draws, 2 losses) - struggling for results
High impactAway Struggles
Hamburger SV winless in last 8 away matches (2 draws, 6 losses) - poor away record
Medium impactMatch Normality
90%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Fri, Jan 23 2026
·
19:30
Venue
Millerntor-Stadion
(Hamburg)
Competition
Bundesliga
·
19
Coaches
Alexander Blessin
St. Pauli
Merlin Polzin
Hamburger SV
Referee
Tobias Welz
Related Coverage
Recent Form
St. Pauli
2W 2D 1L
1 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
D
H
RB Leipzig
1-1
RB Leipzig
1-1
D
H
Hamburger SV
0-0
Hamburger SV
0-0
W
H
Heidenheim
2-1
Heidenheim
2-1
L
H
FC Union Berlin
0-1
FC Union Berlin
0-1
2W 2D 1L
1 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
D
H
RB Leipzig
1-1
RB Leipzig
1-1
D
H
Hamburger SV
0-0
Hamburger SV
0-0
W
H
Heidenheim
2-1
Heidenheim
2-1
L
H
FC Union Berlin
0-1
FC Union Berlin
0-1
0W 2D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L
A
FC Augsburg
1-2
FC Augsburg
1-2
L
A
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
L
A
VfL Wolfsburg
1-2
VfL Wolfsburg
1-2
D
A
FSV Mainz 05
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
0-0
D
A
FC Köln
1-1
FC Köln
1-1
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
L
A
FC Augsburg
1-2
FC Augsburg
1-2
D
H
RB Leipzig
1-1
RB Leipzig
1-1
D
H
Hamburger SV
0-0
Hamburger SV
0-0
L
A
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
Hamburger SV
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
Heidenheim
2-0
Heidenheim
2-0
D
A
St. Pauli
0-0
St. Pauli
0-0
L
A
SC Freiburg
1-2
SC Freiburg
1-2
L
A
TSG Hoffenheim
1-4
TSG Hoffenheim
1-4
L
A
FC Augsburg
0-1
FC Augsburg
0-1
2W 3D 0L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
D
H
FC Bayern München
2-2
FC Bayern München
2-2
D
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-0
D
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
1-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
1-1
W
H
Werder Bremen
3-2
Werder Bremen
3-2
W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
Heidenheim
2-0
Heidenheim
2-0
D
A
St. Pauli
0-0
St. Pauli
0-0
L
A
SC Freiburg
1-2
SC Freiburg
1-2
L
A
TSG Hoffenheim
1-4
TSG Hoffenheim
1-4
L
A
FC Augsburg
0-1
FC Augsburg
0-1
1W 3D 1L
1 GF · 0.8 GA
W
A
Heidenheim
2-0
Heidenheim
2-0
D
H
FC Bayern München
2-2
FC Bayern München
2-2
D
A
St. Pauli
0-0
St. Pauli
0-0
D
H
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-0
L
A
SC Freiburg
1-2
SC Freiburg
1-2
Sidelined Players
St. Pauli
11 out
David Nemeth
injury
Joel Chima Fujita
injury
Connor Metcalfe
injury
Hauke Wahl
injury
Mathias Pereira Lage
injury
+6 more
Hamburger SV
4 out
Albert Grønbæk
injury
Jean-Luc Dompé
injury
Albert Sambi Lokonga
injury
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 4)
St. Pauli
2
50%
Draws
2
50%
Hamburger SV
0
0%
Avg Goals
1.3
BTTS
25%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%
Final Words
St. Pauli have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Hamburger SV have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, St. Pauli have dominated this fixture.