Value Assessment
Home Win
1.18
80% pred
-4.8%
Draw
6.88
14% pred
-0.4%
Away Win
13.62
6% pred
-1.4%
BTTS Yes
2.27
37%
BTTS No
1.59
59%
Key Insights
Title Race
Sporting CP in position 2, 7 points behind leader - competing for title
Medium impactRelegation Zone
Casa Pia in position 15 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactHome Fortress
Sporting CP unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (7 wins, 1 draws) - strong home advantage
Medium impactMatch Normality
100%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Fri, Jan 16 2026
·
20:15
Venue
Estádio José Alvalade
(Lisboa)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
18
Coaches
Álvaro Teixeira Pacheco
Casa Pia
Referee
David Rafael Oliveira Silva
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Sporting CP
5W 0D 0L
3.4 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
W
H
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
W
H
Casa Pia
3-0
Casa Pia
3-0
W
H
Rio Ave
4-0
Rio Ave
4-0
W
H
AVS
6-0
AVS
6-0
5W 0D 0L
3.4 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
W
H
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
W
H
Casa Pia
3-0
Casa Pia
3-0
W
H
Rio Ave
4-0
Rio Ave
4-0
W
H
AVS
6-0
AVS
6-0
3W 1D 1L
2.2 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Athletic Club
3-2
Athletic Club
3-2
W
A
Arouca
2-1
Arouca
2-1
D
A
Gil Vicente
1-1
Gil Vicente
1-1
W
A
Vitória Guimarães
4-1
Vitória Guimarães
4-1
L
A
FC Bayern München
1-3
FC Bayern München
1-3
5W 0D 0L
2.4 GF · 1 GA
W
H
Nacional
2-1
Nacional
2-1
W
A
Athletic Club
3-2
Athletic Club
3-2
W
A
Arouca
2-1
Arouca
2-1
W
H
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
W
H
Casa Pia
3-0
Casa Pia
3-0
Casa Pia
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
L
A
Rio Ave
1-3
Rio Ave
1-3
W
A
Tondela
2-1
Tondela
2-1
L
A
Santa Clara
0-1
Santa Clara
0-1
D
A
Benfica
2-2
Benfica
2-2
1W 3D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Porto
2-1
Porto
2-1
D
H
AVS
3-3
AVS
3-3
D
H
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
D
H
Gil Vicente
1-1
Gil Vicente
1-1
L
H
Alverca
0-2
Alverca
0-2
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
L
A
Rio Ave
1-3
Rio Ave
1-3
W
A
Tondela
2-1
Tondela
2-1
L
A
Santa Clara
0-1
Santa Clara
0-1
D
A
Benfica
2-2
Benfica
2-2
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
W
H
Porto
2-1
Porto
2-1
D
H
AVS
3-3
AVS
3-3
L
A
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
L
A
Rio Ave
1-3
Rio Ave
1-3
D
H
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
Sidelined Players
Sporting CP
5 out
Pedro Gonçalves
suspended
Pedro Gonçalves
injury
Jeremiah St. Juste
injury
Maxi Araújo
suspended
Geovany Quenda
injury
Casa Pia
2 out
Clau Mendes
injury
David Sousa
suspended
Head-to-Head (Last 8)
Sporting CP
8
100%
Draws
0
0%
Casa Pia
0
0%
Avg Goals
4.1
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
Sporting CP enter this match in excellent form, winning 5 of their last 5 matches. Casa Pia have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, Sporting CP have dominated this fixture.