Value Assessment
Home Win
1.76
46% pred
-11.1%
Draw
3.78
22% pred
-4.0%
Away Win
4.29
32% pred
+8.5%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.69
54%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
4.29
+8.5% edge
32% probability
Expected value: +0.36 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
63%
Match Info
Kickoff
Thu, Jan 1 2026
·
15:00
Venue
St. Mary's Stadium
(Southampton)
Competition
Championship
·
25
Coaches
William Still
Southampton
Alex Neil
Millwall
Referee
Tom Nield
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Southampton
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Watford
1-0
Watford
1-0
W
H
Sheffield United
1-0
Sheffield United
1-0
L
H
Hull City
1-2
Hull City
1-2
D
H
Millwall
0-0
Millwall
0-0
D
H
Coventry City
1-1
Coventry City
1-1
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Watford
1-0
Watford
1-0
W
H
Sheffield United
1-0
Sheffield United
1-0
L
H
Hull City
1-2
Hull City
1-2
D
H
Millwall
0-0
Millwall
0-0
D
H
Coventry City
1-1
Coventry City
1-1
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Stoke City
2-0
Stoke City
2-0
D
A
Portsmouth
1-1
Portsmouth
1-1
W
A
Doncaster Rovers
3-2
Doncaster Rovers
3-2
L
A
Middlesbrough
0-4
Middlesbrough
0-4
D
A
Birmingham City
1-1
Birmingham City
1-1
3W 1D 1L
1.2 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Watford
1-0
Watford
1-0
W
A
Stoke City
2-0
Stoke City
2-0
D
A
Portsmouth
1-1
Portsmouth
1-1
W
H
Sheffield United
1-0
Sheffield United
1-0
L
H
Hull City
1-2
Hull City
1-2
Millwall
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
Wrexham
2-0
Wrexham
2-0
L
A
Coventry City
1-2
Coventry City
1-2
W
A
Watford
2-0
Watford
2-0
L
A
Burnley
1-5
Burnley
1-5
D
A
Southampton
0-0
Southampton
0-0
3W 2D 0L
1.8 GF · 0.6 GA
D
H
Sheffield United
1-1
Sheffield United
1-1
W
H
Charlton Athletic
4-0
Charlton Athletic
4-0
W
H
Swansea City
2-1
Swansea City
2-1
W
H
Bristol City
2-1
Bristol City
2-1
D
H
Ipswich Town
0-0
Ipswich Town
0-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
Wrexham
2-0
Wrexham
2-0
L
A
Coventry City
1-2
Coventry City
1-2
W
A
Watford
2-0
Watford
2-0
L
A
Burnley
1-5
Burnley
1-5
D
A
Southampton
0-0
Southampton
0-0
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.6 GA
W
A
Wrexham
2-0
Wrexham
2-0
D
H
Sheffield United
1-1
Sheffield United
1-1
W
H
Charlton Athletic
4-0
Charlton Athletic
4-0
L
A
Coventry City
1-2
Coventry City
1-2
W
A
Watford
2-0
Watford
2-0
Sidelined Players
Southampton
5 out
Will Smallbone
injury
Kamaldeen Sulemana
injury
Jack Stephens
injury
Cyle Larin
injury
Mads Roerslev
injury
Millwall
3 out
Lukas Jensen
injury
Danny McNamara
injury
Will Smallbone
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Southampton
5
50%
Draws
2
20%
Millwall
3
30%
Avg Goals
2.8
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
50%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%