Value Assessment
Home Win
1.60
50% pred
-12.0%
Draw
4.06
21% pred
-3.7%
Away Win
5.14
29% pred
+9.2%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.71
46%
BTTS No
2.07
45%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
5.14
+9.2% edge
29% probability
Expected value: +0.47 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
61%
Key Insights
European Race
Hull City in position 5 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactRotation Risk
Hull City has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactAway Specialist
Hull City exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)
Medium impactMatch Normality
75%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 17 2026
·
15:00
Venue
St. Mary's Stadium
(Southampton)
Competition
Championship
·
27
Coaches
William Still
Southampton
Sergej Jakirović
Hull City
Referee
Samuel Allison
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Southampton
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Watford
1-0
Watford
1-0
W
H
Sheffield United
1-0
Sheffield United
1-0
L
H
Hull City
1-2
Hull City
1-2
D
H
Millwall
0-0
Millwall
0-0
D
H
Coventry City
1-1
Coventry City
1-1
2W 2D 1L
0.8 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Watford
1-0
Watford
1-0
W
H
Sheffield United
1-0
Sheffield United
1-0
L
H
Hull City
1-2
Hull City
1-2
D
H
Millwall
0-0
Millwall
0-0
D
H
Coventry City
1-1
Coventry City
1-1
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Stoke City
2-0
Stoke City
2-0
D
A
Portsmouth
1-1
Portsmouth
1-1
W
A
Doncaster Rovers
3-2
Doncaster Rovers
3-2
L
A
Middlesbrough
0-4
Middlesbrough
0-4
D
A
Birmingham City
1-1
Birmingham City
1-1
3W 1D 1L
1.2 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Watford
1-0
Watford
1-0
W
A
Stoke City
2-0
Stoke City
2-0
D
A
Portsmouth
1-1
Portsmouth
1-1
W
H
Sheffield United
1-0
Sheffield United
1-0
L
H
Hull City
1-2
Hull City
1-2
Hull City
4W 1D 0L
1.8 GF · 0.6 GA
W
A
Blackburn Rovers
1-0
Blackburn Rovers
1-0
W
A
Preston North End
3-0
Preston North End
3-0
W
A
Southampton
2-1
Southampton
2-1
W
A
Middlesbrough
1-0
Middlesbrough
1-0
D
A
Sheffield Wednesday
2-2
Sheffield Wednesday
2-2
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Bristol City
2-3
Bristol City
2-3
D
H
Watford
0-0
Watford
0-0
W
H
Swansea City
2-1
Swansea City
2-1
D
H
Blackburn Rovers
0-0
Blackburn Rovers
0-0
L
H
Stoke City
0-1
Stoke City
0-1
4W 1D 0L
1.8 GF · 0.6 GA
W
A
Blackburn Rovers
1-0
Blackburn Rovers
1-0
W
A
Preston North End
3-0
Preston North End
3-0
W
A
Southampton
2-1
Southampton
2-1
W
A
Middlesbrough
1-0
Middlesbrough
1-0
D
A
Sheffield Wednesday
2-2
Sheffield Wednesday
2-2
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
L
H
Bristol City
2-3
Bristol City
2-3
D
H
Watford
0-0
Watford
0-0
W
A
Blackburn Rovers
1-0
Blackburn Rovers
1-0
W
H
Swansea City
2-1
Swansea City
2-1
W
A
Preston North End
3-0
Preston North End
3-0
Sidelined Players
Southampton
5 out
Will Smallbone
injury
Kamaldeen Sulemana
injury
Jack Stephens
injury
Cyle Larin
injury
Mads Roerslev
injury
Hull City
4 out
Oliver McBurnie
injury
Darko Gyabi
injury
Mohamed Belloumi
injury
Eliot Matazo
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Southampton
5
50%
Draws
1
10%
Hull City
4
40%
Avg Goals
2.5
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
50%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%