Slavia Praha vs FC Barcelona - Champions League Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

7.85

26% pred

+13.3%

VALUE

Draw

5.86

25% pred

+7.9%

VALUE

Away Win

1.32

49% pred

-26.7%

BTTS Yes 1.55 50%

BTTS No 2.39 44%

Best Opportunity

VALUE

Home Win @ 7.85

+13.3% edge 26% probability

Expected value: +1.04 units per bet

Confidence

Medium

71%

Key Insights

Relegation Zone

Slavia Praha in position 34 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Rotation Risk

FC Barcelona has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

High impact

Must Win

Slavia Praha in position 34 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Slavia Praha without a win in 5 games (2 draws, 3 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Away Specialist

FC Barcelona exceptional away form: 6 wins in last 8 away matches (75% win rate)

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 49.0% away win vs 75.8% market consensus - lower probability, 26.7% gap

High impact

Match Normality

65%

Significant concerns

Match Info

Kickoff

Wed, Jan 21 2026 · 20:00

Venue

Fortuna Arena (Praha)

Competition

Champions League · League Stage , 7

Coaches

Jindřich Trpišovský

Slavia Praha

Hans-Dieter Flick

FC Barcelona

Referee

Chris Kavanagh

Recent Form

Slavia Praha

0W 3D 2L

1.2 GF · 2.2 GA

L H

FC Barcelona 2-4

D H

Athletic Club 0-0

L H Arsenal

Arsenal 0-3

D H

Bodø / Glimt 2-2

D H

Malmö FF 2-2

0W 3D 2L

1.2 GF · 2.2 GA

L H

FC Barcelona 2-4

D H

Athletic Club 0-0

L H Arsenal

Arsenal 0-3

D H

Bodø / Glimt 2-2

D H

Malmö FF 2-2

0W 1D 4L

0.2 GF · 2.4 GA

L A

Pafos FC 1-4

L A

Tottenham Hotspur 0-3

D A

Atalanta 0-0

L A Inter

Inter 0-3

L A PAOK

PAOK 0-2

0W 1D 4L

0.6 GF · 2.8 GA

L A

Pafos FC 1-4

L H

FC Barcelona 2-4

L A

Tottenham Hotspur 0-3

D H

Athletic Club 0-0

L H Arsenal

Arsenal 0-3

FC Barcelona

4W 0D 1L

2.4 GF · 1.2 GA

W A

Albacete 2-1

W A Elche

Elche 3-1

W A

Slavia Praha 4-2

L A

Real Sociedad 1-2

W A

Racing Santander 2-0

5W 0D 0L

2.8 GF · 0.6 GA

W H

FC København 4-1

W H

Real Oviedo 3-0

W H Osasuna

Osasuna 2-0

W H

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1

W H

Atlético Madrid 3-1

4W 0D 1L

2.4 GF · 1.2 GA

W A

Albacete 2-1

W A Elche

Elche 3-1

W A

Slavia Praha 4-2

L A

Real Sociedad 1-2

W A

Racing Santander 2-0

5W 0D 0L

3.2 GF · 1 GA

W A

Albacete 2-1

W A Elche

Elche 3-1

W H

FC København 4-1

W H

Real Oviedo 3-0

W A

Slavia Praha 4-2

Sidelined Players

Slavia Praha 6 out

Lukas Provod

injury

Dominik Javorcek

injury

Tomas Chory

suspended

Ivan Schranz

injury

Stepan Chaloupek

injury

+1 more

FC Barcelona 4 out

Raphinha

injury

Gavi

injury

Andreas Christensen

injury

Pedri

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 3)

Slavia Praha

0

0%

Draws

1

33%

FC Barcelona

2

67%

Avg Goals

3.0

BTTS

67%

League Signals

Predictability

57%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+9%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

3.0

HIGH

Draw Rate

20%

BTTS

51%

Over 2.5

57%

Final Words

Slavia Praha have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. FC Barcelona arrive in strong form with 5 wins from 5 games. The head-to-head favors FC Barcelona in recent meetings.