SC Freiburg vs Maccabi Tel Aviv - Europa League Prediction

Value Assessment

Home Win

1.24

46% pred

-34.9%

Draw

6.26

27% pred

+10.7%

VALUE

Away Win

10.82

28% pred

+18.4%

VALUE

BTTS Yes 2.13 47%

BTTS No 1.67 48%

Best Opportunity

VALUE

Away Win @ 10.82

+18.4% edge 28% probability

Expected value: +1.99 units per bet

Confidence

Medium

62%

Key Insights

Title Race

SC Freiburg in position 3, 1 point behind leader - competing for title

High impact

Relegation Zone

Maccabi Tel Aviv in position 36 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

European Race

SC Freiburg in position 3 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Must Win

Maccabi Tel Aviv in position 36 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Maccabi Tel Aviv on 5-game losing streak - crisis form

High impact

Home Fortress

SC Freiburg unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (6 wins, 2 draws) - strong home advantage

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 45.7% home win vs 80.6% market consensus - lower probability, 34.9% gap

High impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff

Thu, Jan 22 2026 · 17:45

Venue

Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg im Breisgau)

Competition

Europa League · League Stage , 7

Coaches

Julian Schuster

SC Freiburg

Ronny Deila

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Referee

Mohammed Al Hakim

Recent Form

SC Freiburg

4W 1D 0L

1.4 GF · 0.6 GA

W H

FC Köln 2-1

W H

Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0

W H

Hamburger SV 2-1

D H

Borussia Dortmund 1-1

W H

Salzburg 1-0

4W 1D 0L

1.4 GF · 0.6 GA

W H

FC Köln 2-1

W H

Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0

W H

Hamburger SV 2-1

D H

Borussia Dortmund 1-1

W H

Salzburg 1-0

1W 1D 3L

1.2 GF · 1.8 GA

L A

VfB Stuttgart 0-1

L A

LOSC Lille 0-1

D A

FC Augsburg 2-2

L A

RB Leipzig 0-2

W A

VfL Wolfsburg 4-3

2W 1D 2L

1 GF · 1 GA

L A

VfB Stuttgart 0-1

L A

LOSC Lille 0-1

W H

FC Köln 2-1

W H

Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0

D A

FC Augsburg 2-2

Maccabi Tel Aviv

0W 1D 4L

0.2 GF · 1.6 GA

L A

SC Freiburg 0-1

L A

VfB Stuttgart 1-4

L A

Aston Villa 0-2

D A PAOK

PAOK 0-0

L A

Dynamo Kyiv 0-1

1W 0D 4L

0.8 GF · 3.2 GA

L H Bologna

Bologna 0-3

L H

Olympique Lyonnais 0-6

L H

FC Midtjylland 0-3

L H

Dinamo Zagreb 1-3

W H

Dynamo Kyiv 3-1

0W 1D 4L

0.2 GF · 1.6 GA

L A

SC Freiburg 0-1

L A

VfB Stuttgart 1-4

L A

Aston Villa 0-2

D A PAOK

PAOK 0-0

L A

Dynamo Kyiv 0-1

0W 0D 5L

0.2 GF · 3.2 GA

L H Bologna

Bologna 0-3

L A

SC Freiburg 0-1

L A

VfB Stuttgart 1-4

L H

Olympique Lyonnais 0-6

L A

Aston Villa 0-2

Sidelined Players

SC Freiburg 6 out

Maximilian Eggestein

suspended

Lukas Kübler

injury

Manuel Gulde

injury

Philipp Lienhart

injury

Daniel-Kofi Kyereh

injury

+1 more

Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 out

Kristijan Belic

injury

Denny Gropper

injury

Ori Azo

injury

Mohamed Camara

injury

Ion Nicolaescu

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 1)

SC Freiburg

1

100%

Draws

0

0%

Maccabi Tel Aviv

0

0%

Avg Goals

1.0

BTTS

0%

League Signals

Predictability

56%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+12%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

2.9

MEDIUM

Draw Rate

21%

BTTS

53%

Over 2.5

56%

Final Words

Maccabi Tel Aviv have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5.