Value Assessment
Home Win
1.76
44% pred
-12.4%
Draw
3.69
33% pred
+5.7%
VALUE
Away Win
4.56
23% pred
+0.9%
BTTS Yes
1.69
53%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Draw
@
3.69
+5.7% edge
33% probability
Expected value: +0.21 units per bet
Confidence
High
76%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Nov 30 2025
·
18:30
Venue
Europa-Park Stadion
(Freiburg im Breisgau)
Competition
Bundesliga
·
12
Coaches
Julian Schuster
SC Freiburg
Urs Fischer
FSV Mainz 05
Referee
Daniel Schlager
Related Coverage
Recent Form
SC Freiburg
4W 1D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Werder Bremen
1-0
Werder Bremen
1-0
W
H
FC Köln
2-1
FC Köln
2-1
W
H
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-0
W
H
Hamburger SV
2-1
Hamburger SV
2-1
D
H
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
4W 1D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Werder Bremen
1-0
Werder Bremen
1-0
W
H
FC Köln
2-1
FC Köln
2-1
W
H
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-0
W
H
Hamburger SV
2-1
Hamburger SV
2-1
D
H
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
VfB Stuttgart
0-1
VfB Stuttgart
0-1
L
A
LOSC Lille
0-1
LOSC Lille
0-1
D
A
FC Augsburg
2-2
FC Augsburg
2-2
L
A
RB Leipzig
0-2
RB Leipzig
0-2
W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
4-3
VfL Wolfsburg
4-3
3W 0D 2L
0.8 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Werder Bremen
1-0
Werder Bremen
1-0
L
A
VfB Stuttgart
0-1
VfB Stuttgart
0-1
L
A
LOSC Lille
0-1
LOSC Lille
0-1
W
H
FC Köln
2-1
FC Köln
2-1
W
H
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-0
FSV Mainz 05
1W 3D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
RB Leipzig
2-1
RB Leipzig
2-1
L
A
FC Köln
1-2
FC Köln
1-2
D
A
FC Union Berlin
2-2
FC Union Berlin
2-2
D
A
FC Bayern München
2-2
FC Bayern München
2-2
D
A
Lech Poznań
1-1
Lech Poznań
1-1
4W 1D 0L
1.8 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
FC Augsburg
2-0
FC Augsburg
2-0
W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1
W
H
Heidenheim
2-1
Heidenheim
2-1
D
H
St. Pauli
0-0
St. Pauli
0-0
W
H
Samsunspor
2-0
Samsunspor
2-0
1W 3D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
RB Leipzig
2-1
RB Leipzig
2-1
L
A
FC Köln
1-2
FC Köln
1-2
D
A
FC Union Berlin
2-2
FC Union Berlin
2-2
D
A
FC Bayern München
2-2
FC Bayern München
2-2
D
A
Lech Poznań
1-1
Lech Poznań
1-1
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
W
H
FC Augsburg
2-0
FC Augsburg
2-0
W
A
RB Leipzig
2-1
RB Leipzig
2-1
W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1
L
A
FC Köln
1-2
FC Köln
1-2
W
H
Heidenheim
2-1
Heidenheim
2-1
Sidelined Players
SC Freiburg
6 out
Lukas Kübler
injury
Maximilian Eggestein
suspended
Manuel Gulde
injury
Philipp Lienhart
injury
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh
injury
+1 more
FSV Mainz 05
5 out
Robin Zentner
injury
Sota Kawasaki
injury
William Bøving
injury
Benedict Hollerbach
injury
Armindo Sieb
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
SC Freiburg
1
10%
Draws
6
60%
FSV Mainz 05
3
30%
Avg Goals
1.9
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%
Final Words
FSV Mainz 05 arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games. The head-to-head favors FSV Mainz 05 in recent meetings.