Value Assessment
Home Win
1.98
60% pred
+9.0%
VALUE
Draw
3.63
24% pred
-3.9%
Away Win
3.60
17% pred
-10.9%
BTTS Yes
1.59
48%
BTTS No
2.30
47%
MARGINAL
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Home Win
@
1.98
+9.0% edge
60% probability
Expected value: +0.18 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
65%
Key Insights
Rotation Risk
SC Freiburg has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
High impactHome Fortress
SC Freiburg unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (7 wins, 1 draws) - strong home advantage
Medium impactBTTS Tendency
FC Köln matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactLeaky Defense
FC Köln has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals
Medium impactTop Scorer
FC Köln has Said El Mala ranked #7 in league scoring (7 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMatch Normality
75%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Jan 25 2026
·
16:30
Venue
Europa-Park Stadion
(Freiburg im Breisgau)
Competition
Bundesliga
·
19
Coaches
Julian Schuster
SC Freiburg
Lukas Kwasniok
FC Köln
Referee
Bastian Dankert
Related Coverage
Recent Form
SC Freiburg
4W 1D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Werder Bremen
1-0
Werder Bremen
1-0
W
H
FC Köln
2-1
FC Köln
2-1
W
H
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-0
W
H
Hamburger SV
2-1
Hamburger SV
2-1
D
H
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
4W 1D 0L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Werder Bremen
1-0
Werder Bremen
1-0
W
H
FC Köln
2-1
FC Köln
2-1
W
H
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-0
W
H
Hamburger SV
2-1
Hamburger SV
2-1
D
H
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
VfB Stuttgart
0-1
VfB Stuttgart
0-1
L
A
LOSC Lille
0-1
LOSC Lille
0-1
D
A
FC Augsburg
2-2
FC Augsburg
2-2
L
A
RB Leipzig
0-2
RB Leipzig
0-2
W
A
VfL Wolfsburg
4-3
VfL Wolfsburg
4-3
3W 0D 2L
0.8 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Werder Bremen
1-0
Werder Bremen
1-0
L
A
VfB Stuttgart
0-1
VfB Stuttgart
0-1
L
A
LOSC Lille
0-1
LOSC Lille
0-1
W
H
FC Köln
2-1
FC Köln
2-1
W
H
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-0
FC Köln
0W 2D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
L
A
SC Freiburg
1-2
SC Freiburg
1-2
D
A
Heidenheim
2-2
Heidenheim
2-2
L
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-2
D
A
Werder Bremen
1-1
Werder Bremen
1-1
L
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1-3
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1-3
2W 0D 3L
1 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
RB Leipzig
1-2
RB Leipzig
1-2
W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
1-0
VfL Wolfsburg
1-0
W
H
FSV Mainz 05
2-1
FSV Mainz 05
2-1
L
H
FC Bayern München
1-3
FC Bayern München
1-3
L
H
FC Union Berlin
0-1
FC Union Berlin
0-1
0W 2D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
L
A
SC Freiburg
1-2
SC Freiburg
1-2
D
A
Heidenheim
2-2
Heidenheim
2-2
L
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-2
D
A
Werder Bremen
1-1
Werder Bremen
1-1
L
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1-3
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1-3
2W 0D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
RB Leipzig
1-2
RB Leipzig
1-2
W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
1-0
VfL Wolfsburg
1-0
L
A
SC Freiburg
1-2
SC Freiburg
1-2
W
H
FSV Mainz 05
2-1
FSV Mainz 05
2-1
L
H
FC Bayern München
1-3
FC Bayern München
1-3
Sidelined Players
SC Freiburg
5 out
Lukas Kübler
injury
Maximilian Eggestein
suspended
Manuel Gulde
injury
Philipp Lienhart
injury
Cyriaque Irié
injury
FC Köln
6 out
Dominique Heintz
injury
Luca Kilian
injury
Timo Hübers
injury
Malek El Mala
injury
Alessio Castro-Montes
injury
+1 more
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
SC Freiburg
6
60%
Draws
2
20%
FC Köln
2
20%
Avg Goals
2.6
BTTS
40%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%
Final Words
Historically, SC Freiburg have dominated this fixture.