Value Assessment
Home Win
2.10
46% pred
-1.8%
Draw
3.81
22% pred
-4.3%
Away Win
3.11
32% pred
+0.1%
BTTS Yes
1.46
59%
BTTS No
2.61
34%
Key Insights
Rotation Risk
Basel has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactMust Win
Salzburg in position 28 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactMust Win
Basel in position 27 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactMatch Normality
85%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Thu, Jan 22 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Red Bull Arena
(Wals-Siezenheim)
Competition
Europa League
·
League Stage
, 7
Coaches
Thomas Letsch
Salzburg
Stephan Lichtsteiner
Basel
Referee
Anastasios Papapetrou
Recent Form
Salzburg
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Basel
3-1
Basel
3-1
W
H
Wolfsberger AC
2-1
Wolfsberger AC
2-1
L
H
WSG Tirol
2-3
WSG Tirol
2-3
W
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2-0
Go Ahead Eagles
2-0
W
H
Ried
4-1
Ried
4-1
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
Basel
3-1
Basel
3-1
W
H
Wolfsberger AC
2-1
Wolfsberger AC
2-1
L
H
WSG Tirol
2-3
WSG Tirol
2-3
W
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2-0
Go Ahead Eagles
2-0
W
H
Ried
4-1
Ried
4-1
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Aston Villa
2-3
Aston Villa
2-3
L
A
SC Freiburg
0-1
SC Freiburg
0-1
W
A
Blau-Weiß Linz
2-0
Blau-Weiß Linz
2-0
D
A
Rheindorf Altach
1-1
Rheindorf Altach
1-1
L
A
Bologna
1-4
Bologna
1-4
3W 0D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Aston Villa
2-3
Aston Villa
2-3
W
H
Basel
3-1
Basel
3-1
W
H
Wolfsberger AC
2-1
Wolfsberger AC
2-1
L
A
SC Freiburg
0-1
SC Freiburg
0-1
W
A
Blau-Weiß Linz
2-0
Blau-Weiß Linz
2-0
Basel
3W 0D 2L
2 GF · 2 GA
W
A
Zürich
4-3
Zürich
4-3
L
A
Salzburg
1-3
Salzburg
1-3
W
A
Luzern
2-1
Luzern
2-1
W
A
Winterthur
2-1
Winterthur
2-1
L
A
Genk
1-2
Genk
1-2
0W 3D 2L
0.6 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Thun
1-2
Thun
1-2
L
H
Viktoria Plzeň
0-1
Viktoria Plzeň
0-1
D
H
Sion
1-1
Sion
1-1
D
H
Servette
1-1
Servette
1-1
D
H
Lausanne Sport
0-0
Lausanne Sport
0-0
3W 0D 2L
2 GF · 2 GA
W
A
Zürich
4-3
Zürich
4-3
L
A
Salzburg
1-3
Salzburg
1-3
W
A
Luzern
2-1
Luzern
2-1
W
A
Winterthur
2-1
Winterthur
2-1
L
A
Genk
1-2
Genk
1-2
1W 1D 3L
1.4 GF · 2 GA
L
H
Thun
1-2
Thun
1-2
L
H
Viktoria Plzeň
0-1
Viktoria Plzeň
0-1
W
A
Zürich
4-3
Zürich
4-3
L
A
Salzburg
1-3
Salzburg
1-3
D
H
Sion
1-1
Sion
1-1
Sidelined Players
Salzburg
9 out
Takumu Kawamura
injury
John Mellberg
injury
Yorbe Vertessen
injury
Leandro Morgalla
injury
Yorbe Vertessen
injury
+4 more
Basel
8 out
Bénie Traoré
injury
Keigo Tsunemoto
injury
Marwin Hitz
injury
Finn van Breemen
injury
Moritz Broschinski
injury
+3 more
Head-to-Head (Last 3)
Salzburg
1
33%
Draws
1
33%
Basel
1
33%
Avg Goals
2.3
BTTS
67%
League Signals
Predictability
56%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+12%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
21%
BTTS
53%
Over 2.5
56%
Final Words
Basel have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.