Value Assessment
Home Win
2.19
40% pred
-6.0%
Draw
3.43
24% pred
-5.1%
Away Win
3.21
36% pred
+5.1%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.68
59%
BTTS No
2.12
35%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
3.21
+5.1% edge
36% probability
Expected value: +0.16 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
65%
Key Insights
European Race
Roma in position 6 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactRotation Risk
Roma has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactRotation Risk
VfB Stuttgart has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactMatch Normality
70%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Thu, Jan 22 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Stadio Olimpico
(Roma)
Competition
Europa League
·
League Stage
, 7
Coaches
Gian Gasperini
Roma
Sebastian Hoeneß
VfB Stuttgart
Referee
John Brooks
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Roma
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
D
H
AC Milan
1-1
AC Milan
1-1
W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2-0
VfB Stuttgart
2-0
L
H
Torino
2-3
Torino
2-3
W
H
Sassuolo
2-0
Sassuolo
2-0
W
H
Genoa
3-1
Genoa
3-1
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
D
H
AC Milan
1-1
AC Milan
1-1
W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2-0
VfB Stuttgart
2-0
L
H
Torino
2-3
Torino
2-3
W
H
Sassuolo
2-0
Sassuolo
2-0
W
H
Genoa
3-1
Genoa
3-1
2W 1D 2L
1 GF · 0.6 GA
L
A
Udinese
0-1
Udinese
0-1
D
A
Panathinaikos
1-1
Panathinaikos
1-1
W
A
Torino
2-0
Torino
2-0
W
A
Lecce
2-0
Lecce
2-0
L
A
Atalanta
0-1
Atalanta
0-1
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 0.6 GA
L
A
Udinese
0-1
Udinese
0-1
D
A
Panathinaikos
1-1
Panathinaikos
1-1
D
H
AC Milan
1-1
AC Milan
1-1
W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2-0
VfB Stuttgart
2-0
W
A
Torino
2-0
Torino
2-0
VfB Stuttgart
3W 0D 2L
2.4 GF · 1 GA
W
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3-0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3-0
L
A
Roma
0-2
Roma
0-2
W
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4-1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4-1
W
A
Werder Bremen
4-0
Werder Bremen
4-0
L
A
Hamburger SV
1-2
Hamburger SV
1-2
3W 2D 0L
1.6 GF · 1 GA
W
H
SC Freiburg
1-0
SC Freiburg
1-0
W
H
Young Boys
3-2
Young Boys
3-2
D
H
FC Union Berlin
1-1
FC Union Berlin
1-1
W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
3-2
Eintracht Frankfurt
3-2
D
H
TSG Hoffenheim
0-0
TSG Hoffenheim
0-0
3W 0D 2L
2.4 GF · 1 GA
W
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3-0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3-0
L
A
Roma
0-2
Roma
0-2
W
A
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4-1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4-1
W
A
Werder Bremen
4-0
Werder Bremen
4-0
L
A
Hamburger SV
1-2
Hamburger SV
1-2
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 1 GA
W
H
SC Freiburg
1-0
SC Freiburg
1-0
W
H
Young Boys
3-2
Young Boys
3-2
W
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3-0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3-0
L
A
Roma
0-2
Roma
0-2
D
H
FC Union Berlin
1-1
FC Union Berlin
1-1
Sidelined Players
Roma
11 out
Paulo Dybala
injury
Stephan El Shaarawy
injury
Manu Koné
injury
Lorenzo Venturino
injury
Artem Dovbyk
injury
+6 more
VfB Stuttgart
10 out
Jeff Chabot
injury
Nikolas Nartey
injury
Yannik Keitel
injury
Dan-Axel Zagadou
injury
Tiago Tomás
injury
+5 more
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
Roma
1
100%
Draws
0
0%
VfB Stuttgart
0
0%
Avg Goals
2.0
BTTS
0%
League Signals
Predictability
56%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+12%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
21%
BTTS
53%
Over 2.5
56%