Roma vs AC Milan

Roma

<p>Roma are back in Serie A following a 2-0 win over Stuttgart in the Europa League. They sit 4th with 42 points, while 2nd-placed Milan arrive in the capital on 46 points, keeping pressure on the leaders. With four points separating the sides, the match carries the feel of a six-pointer.</p> <p>Roma's recent form has been encouraging. They have four wins in six matches across all competitions, underscoring an upward trajectory.</p> <p>Home form has been a major pillar of their success, with Roma winning their last three Serie A matches at the Stadio Olimpico and avoiding defeat in 17 of their last 20 home league games.</p> <p>Defensive solidity has also been key, as Roma have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three Serie A fixtures, suggesting a well-organised unit that is difficult to break down.</p> <p>What stands out even more is Roma’s growing authority in recent victories. In each of their last three Serie A matches, they have won by a margin of two or more goals.</p> <p>However, Roma matches have often been cagey overall, with under 2.5 goals landing in four of their last six outings, hinting at a disciplined, risk-managed approach.</p> <p>A 3-5-2 formation with Pellegrini and Evan Ferguson in attack is expected against Milan.</p>

AC Milan

<p>AC Milan travel to Rome with remarkable consistency. The Rossoneri are on a 20-match unbeaten run in Serie A, a testament to balance at both ends of the pitch. The record underpins a measured approach to this fixture.</p> <p>Away from home, Milan have been particularly hard to beat, winning six of their last eleven away fixtures while conceding an average of 0.70 goals per away league match. This defensive efficiency has been central to their sustained title challenge. The away run reflects stability in both positions on the field.</p> <p>Historically, Milan have shown resilience in this fixture. They have not lost at half-time in their last 12 Serie A meetings with Roma, often staying composed early on before asserting control later in matches. That pattern suggests a patient, second-half edge in these clashes.</p> <p>Their recent away trends also align with lower-scoring contests, with under 2.5 goals recorded in six of their last ten away Serie A games. The tendency toward fewer goals supports a careful, pace-controlled approach. These elements frame expectations of a tight contest.</p> <p>Tactically, this contest looks set to be finely balanced. Roma’s strong home form and recent defensive streak suggest they will aim to control territory and tempo, while Milan’s unbeaten run and disciplined structure point toward a measured, patient approach. A 3-5-2 formation with Rafael Leão and Christian Pulisic in attack is expected against Roma.</p>