Value Assessment
Home Win
2.32
33% pred
-10.1%
Draw
3.02
32% pred
-1.6%
Away Win
3.31
35% pred
+5.3%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
2.06
50%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
3.31
+5.3% edge
35% probability
Expected value: +0.17 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
67%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Jan 4 2026
·
15:30
Venue
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
(Vila do Conde)
Competition
Liga Portugal
·
17
Coaches
Sotiris Silaidopoulos
Rio Ave
Álvaro Teixeira Pacheco
Casa Pia
Referee
Iancu Ioan Vasilica
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Rio Ave
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
Arouca
0-3
Arouca
0-3
L
H
Benfica
0-2
Benfica
0-2
W
H
Casa Pia
3-1
Casa Pia
3-1
L
H
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
D
H
Santa Clara
1-1
Santa Clara
1-1
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
Arouca
0-3
Arouca
0-3
L
H
Benfica
0-2
Benfica
0-2
W
H
Casa Pia
3-1
Casa Pia
3-1
L
H
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
Vitória Guimarães
0-1
D
H
Santa Clara
1-1
Santa Clara
1-1
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 2.8 GA
L
A
Sporting Braga
0-3
Sporting Braga
0-3
L
A
Nacional
0-4
Nacional
0-4
L
A
Sporting CP
0-4
Sporting CP
0-4
D
A
Gil Vicente
2-2
Gil Vicente
2-2
W
A
AVS
2-1
AVS
2-1
1W 0D 4L
0.6 GF · 2.6 GA
L
A
Sporting Braga
0-3
Sporting Braga
0-3
L
H
Arouca
0-3
Arouca
0-3
L
A
Nacional
0-4
Nacional
0-4
L
H
Benfica
0-2
Benfica
0-2
W
H
Casa Pia
3-1
Casa Pia
3-1
Casa Pia
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
Nacional
0-0
Nacional
0-0
L
A
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
L
A
Rio Ave
1-3
Rio Ave
1-3
W
A
Tondela
2-1
Tondela
2-1
L
A
Santa Clara
0-1
Santa Clara
0-1
1W 3D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
Porto
2-1
Porto
2-1
D
H
AVS
3-3
AVS
3-3
D
H
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
Vitória Guimarães
0-0
D
H
Gil Vicente
1-1
Gil Vicente
1-1
L
H
Alverca
0-2
Alverca
0-2
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.6 GA
D
A
Nacional
0-0
Nacional
0-0
L
A
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
L
A
Rio Ave
1-3
Rio Ave
1-3
W
A
Tondela
2-1
Tondela
2-1
L
A
Santa Clara
0-1
Santa Clara
0-1
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
D
A
Nacional
0-0
Nacional
0-0
W
H
Porto
2-1
Porto
2-1
D
H
AVS
3-3
AVS
3-3
L
A
Sporting CP
0-3
Sporting CP
0-3
L
A
Rio Ave
1-3
Rio Ave
1-3
Sidelined Players
Rio Ave
2 out
Theofanis Bakoulas
injury
Omar Richards
injury
Casa Pia
1 out
Clau Mendes
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 7)
Rio Ave
2
29%
Draws
3
43%
Casa Pia
2
29%
Avg Goals
2.4
BTTS
71%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
49%
Final Words
Rio Ave have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Casa Pia have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.