Value Assessment
Home Win
1.23
65% pred
-16.4%
Draw
6.70
21% pred
+5.8%
VALUE
Away Win
10.81
14% pred
+5.1%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.71
50%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Draw
@
6.70
+5.8% edge
21% probability
Expected value: +0.39 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
72%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Dec 20 2025
·
20:00
Venue
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
(Madrid)
Competition
La Liga
·
17
Coaches
Arbeloa
Real Madrid
Matías Almeyda
Sevilla
Referee
Alejandro Muñíz Ruiz
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Real Madrid
5W 0D 0L
3.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
W
H
Monaco
6-1
Monaco
6-1
W
H
Levante
2-0
Levante
2-0
W
H
Real Betis
5-1
Real Betis
5-1
W
H
Sevilla
2-0
Sevilla
2-0
5W 0D 0L
3.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
W
H
Monaco
6-1
Monaco
6-1
W
H
Levante
2-0
Levante
2-0
W
H
Real Betis
5-1
Real Betis
5-1
W
H
Sevilla
2-0
Sevilla
2-0
3W 0D 2L
2.2 GF · 1.8 GA
W
A
Valencia
2-0
Valencia
2-0
L
A
Benfica
2-4
Benfica
2-4
W
A
Villarreal
2-0
Villarreal
2-0
L
A
Albacete
2-3
Albacete
2-3
W
A
Talavera CF
3-2
Talavera CF
3-2
4W 0D 1L
2.8 GF · 1.2 GA
W
A
Valencia
2-0
Valencia
2-0
W
H
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
L
A
Benfica
2-4
Benfica
2-4
W
A
Villarreal
2-0
Villarreal
2-0
W
H
Monaco
6-1
Monaco
6-1
Sevilla
0W 2D 3L
0.8 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Mallorca
1-4
Mallorca
1-4
D
A
Elche
2-2
Elche
2-2
L
A
Real Madrid
0-2
Real Madrid
0-2
L
A
Deportivo Alavés
0-1
Deportivo Alavés
0-1
D
A
Valencia
1-1
Valencia
1-1
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
D
H
Girona
1-1
Girona
1-1
W
H
Athletic Club
2-1
Athletic Club
2-1
L
H
Celta de Vigo
0-1
Celta de Vigo
0-1
L
H
Levante
0-3
Levante
0-3
W
H
Real Oviedo
4-0
Real Oviedo
4-0
0W 2D 3L
0.8 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Mallorca
1-4
Mallorca
1-4
D
A
Elche
2-2
Elche
2-2
L
A
Real Madrid
0-2
Real Madrid
0-2
L
A
Deportivo Alavés
0-1
Deportivo Alavés
0-1
D
A
Valencia
1-1
Valencia
1-1
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
D
H
Girona
1-1
Girona
1-1
L
A
Mallorca
1-4
Mallorca
1-4
W
H
Athletic Club
2-1
Athletic Club
2-1
D
A
Elche
2-2
Elche
2-2
L
H
Celta de Vigo
0-1
Celta de Vigo
0-1
Sidelined Players
Real Madrid
6 out
Rodrygo
suspended
Raúl Asencio
suspended
Éder Militão
injury
Ferland Mendy
injury
Jude Bellingham
injury
+1 more
Sevilla
7 out
Adnan Januzaj
injury
Adrià Pedrosa
suspension
Isaac Romero
suspension
Valentín Barco
injury
Marcão
injury
+2 more
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Real Madrid
8
80%
Draws
2
20%
Sevilla
0
0%
Avg Goals
3.2
BTTS
70%
League Signals
Predictability
46%
LOW
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
46%
Final Words
Real Madrid enter this match in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Sevilla have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, Real Madrid have dominated this fixture.