Value Assessment
Home Win
1.52
40% pred
-26.3%
Draw
4.69
25% pred
+3.7%
MARGINAL
Away Win
5.23
36% pred
+16.4%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.47
47%
BTTS No
2.58
41%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
5.23
+16.4% edge
36% probability
Expected value: +0.86 units per bet
Confidence
Low
56%
Key Insights
European Race
Real Betis in position 4 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactMust Win
Feyenoord in position 29 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactHigh Scoring
Feyenoord involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactBTTS Tendency
Feyenoord matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 39.5% home win vs 65.8% market consensus - lower probability, 26.3% gap
High impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 47.2% BTTS vs 68.0% market consensus - lower probability, 20.8% gap
Medium impactMatch Normality
75%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Thu, Jan 29 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla
(Sevilla)
Competition
Europa League
·
League Stage
, 8
Coaches
Manuel Pellegrini Ripamonti
Real Betis
Robin van Persie
Feyenoord
Referee
Nikola Dabanović
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Real Betis
4W 0D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
Atlético Madrid
0-5
Atlético Madrid
0-5
W
H
Valencia
2-1
Valencia
2-1
W
H
Feyenoord
2-1
Feyenoord
2-1
W
H
Villarreal
2-0
Villarreal
2-0
W
H
Elche
2-1
Elche
2-1
4W 0D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
L
H
Atlético Madrid
0-5
Atlético Madrid
0-5
W
H
Valencia
2-1
Valencia
2-1
W
H
Feyenoord
2-1
Feyenoord
2-1
W
H
Villarreal
2-0
Villarreal
2-0
W
H
Elche
2-1
Elche
2-1
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 2 GA
W
A
Atlético Madrid
1-0
Atlético Madrid
1-0
L
A
Deportivo Alavés
1-2
Deportivo Alavés
1-2
L
A
PAOK
0-2
PAOK
0-2
D
A
Real Oviedo
1-1
Real Oviedo
1-1
L
A
Real Madrid
1-5
Real Madrid
1-5
3W 0D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
W
A
Atlético Madrid
1-0
Atlético Madrid
1-0
L
H
Atlético Madrid
0-5
Atlético Madrid
0-5
W
H
Valencia
2-1
Valencia
2-1
W
H
Feyenoord
2-1
Feyenoord
2-1
L
A
Deportivo Alavés
1-2
Deportivo Alavés
1-2
Feyenoord
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
W
A
FC Utrecht
1-0
FC Utrecht
1-0
L
A
PSV
0-3
PSV
0-3
L
A
Real Betis
1-2
Real Betis
1-2
D
A
SC Heerenveen
2-2
SC Heerenveen
2-2
L
A
Ajax
0-2
Ajax
0-2
3W 1D 1L
3.4 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Heracles Almelo
4-2
Heracles Almelo
4-2
W
H
Sturm Graz
3-0
Sturm Graz
3-0
L
H
Sparta Rotterdam
3-4
Sparta Rotterdam
3-4
D
H
FC Twente
1-1
FC Twente
1-1
W
H
PEC Zwolle
6-1
PEC Zwolle
6-1
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.8 GA
W
A
FC Utrecht
1-0
FC Utrecht
1-0
L
A
PSV
0-3
PSV
0-3
L
A
Real Betis
1-2
Real Betis
1-2
D
A
SC Heerenveen
2-2
SC Heerenveen
2-2
L
A
Ajax
0-2
Ajax
0-2
3W 0D 2L
1.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
FC Utrecht
1-0
FC Utrecht
1-0
L
A
PSV
0-3
PSV
0-3
L
A
Real Betis
1-2
Real Betis
1-2
W
H
Heracles Almelo
4-2
Heracles Almelo
4-2
W
H
Sturm Graz
3-0
Sturm Graz
3-0
Sidelined Players
Real Betis
4 out
Giovani Lo Celso
injury
Ricardo Rodríguez
injury
Sofyan Amrabat
injury
Isco
injury
Feyenoord
16 out
Givairo Read
injury
Luciano Valente
suspended
Ayase Ueda
injury
Santiago Gimenez
injury
Gernot Trauner
injury
+11 more
Head-to-Head (Last 1)
Real Betis
1
100%
Draws
0
0%
Feyenoord
0
0%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
100%
League Signals
Predictability
56%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+12%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
21%
BTTS
53%
Over 2.5
56%