Value Assessment
Home Win
1.54
54% pred
-10.9%
Draw
4.49
23% pred
+1.2%
Away Win
5.34
22% pred
+3.8%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes
1.57
46%
BTTS No
2.34
42%
Key Insights
European Race
RB Leipzig in position 4 - competing for Champions League qualification
High impactAway Struggles
FSV Mainz 05 winless in last 8 away matches (3 draws, 5 losses) - poor away record
Medium impactBTTS Tendency
FSV Mainz 05 matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Medium impactTop Scorer
RB Leipzig has Yan Diomande ranked #7 in league scoring (7 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMatch Normality
80%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 31 2026
·
14:30
Venue
Red Bull Arena
(Wals-Siezenheim)
Competition
Bundesliga
·
20
Coaches
Ole Werner
RB Leipzig
Urs Fischer
FSV Mainz 05
Referee
Daniel Schlager
Related Coverage
Recent Form
RB Leipzig
2W 0D 3L
2.2 GF · 2 GA
L
H
FSV Mainz 05
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
1-2
L
H
FC Bayern München
1-5
FC Bayern München
1-5
W
H
SC Freiburg
2-0
SC Freiburg
2-0
L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-3
W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
6-0
Eintracht Frankfurt
6-0
2W 0D 3L
2.2 GF · 2 GA
L
H
FSV Mainz 05
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
1-2
L
H
FC Bayern München
1-5
FC Bayern München
1-5
W
H
SC Freiburg
2-0
SC Freiburg
2-0
L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-3
W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
6-0
Eintracht Frankfurt
6-0
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
W
A
FC Köln
2-1
FC Köln
2-1
D
A
St. Pauli
1-1
St. Pauli
1-1
W
A
Heidenheim
3-0
Heidenheim
3-0
L
A
FC Union Berlin
1-3
FC Union Berlin
1-3
D
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-0
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.8 GA
W
A
FC Köln
2-1
FC Köln
2-1
L
H
FSV Mainz 05
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
1-2
D
A
St. Pauli
1-1
St. Pauli
1-1
W
A
Heidenheim
3-0
Heidenheim
3-0
L
H
FC Bayern München
1-5
FC Bayern München
1-5
FSV Mainz 05
1W 3D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
RB Leipzig
2-1
RB Leipzig
2-1
L
A
FC Köln
1-2
FC Köln
1-2
D
A
FC Union Berlin
2-2
FC Union Berlin
2-2
D
A
FC Bayern München
2-2
FC Bayern München
2-2
D
A
Lech Poznań
1-1
Lech Poznań
1-1
4W 1D 0L
1.8 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
FC Augsburg
2-0
FC Augsburg
2-0
W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1
W
H
Heidenheim
2-1
Heidenheim
2-1
D
H
St. Pauli
0-0
St. Pauli
0-0
W
H
Samsunspor
2-0
Samsunspor
2-0
1W 3D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
RB Leipzig
2-1
RB Leipzig
2-1
L
A
FC Köln
1-2
FC Köln
1-2
D
A
FC Union Berlin
2-2
FC Union Berlin
2-2
D
A
FC Bayern München
2-2
FC Bayern München
2-2
D
A
Lech Poznań
1-1
Lech Poznań
1-1
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 1 GA
W
H
FC Augsburg
2-0
FC Augsburg
2-0
W
A
RB Leipzig
2-1
RB Leipzig
2-1
W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1
VfL Wolfsburg
3-1
L
A
FC Köln
1-2
FC Köln
1-2
W
H
Heidenheim
2-1
Heidenheim
2-1
Sidelined Players
RB Leipzig
7 out
Kevin Kampl
injury
Xaver Schlager
injury
Suleiman Sani
injury
Assan Ouédraogo
injury
Castello Lukeba
injury
+2 more
FSV Mainz 05
5 out
Robin Zentner
injury
Sota Kawasaki
injury
William Bøving
injury
Benedict Hollerbach
injury
Armindo Sieb
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
RB Leipzig
3
30%
Draws
2
20%
FSV Mainz 05
5
50%
Avg Goals
2.2
BTTS
40%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%
Final Words
FSV Mainz 05 arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games.