Value Assessment
Home Win
4.25
20% pred
-3.1%
Draw
4.36
24% pred
+1.5%
Away Win
1.68
55% pred
-4.4%
BTTS Yes
1.39
59%
BTTS No
2.90
35%
Key Insights
Title Race
FC Bayern München leading the table - high motivation to maintain position
High impactEuropean Race
RB Leipzig in position 4 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactRotation Risk
FC Bayern München has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
High impactStreak Watch
FC Bayern München unbeaten in 5 games (4 wins, 1 draws) - solid defensive form
Medium impactAway Specialist
FC Bayern München exceptional away form: 6 wins in last 8 away matches (75% win rate)
Medium impactHigh Scoring
FC Bayern München involved in high-scoring games: 10 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Medium impactMatch Normality
65%
Significant concerns
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 17 2026
·
17:30
Venue
Red Bull Arena
(Wals-Siezenheim)
Competition
Bundesliga
·
18
Coaches
Ole Werner
RB Leipzig
Vincent Kompany
FC Bayern München
Referee
Sascha Stegemann
Related Coverage
Recent Form
RB Leipzig
2W 0D 3L
2.2 GF · 2 GA
L
H
FSV Mainz 05
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
1-2
L
H
FC Bayern München
1-5
FC Bayern München
1-5
W
H
SC Freiburg
2-0
SC Freiburg
2-0
L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-3
W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
6-0
Eintracht Frankfurt
6-0
2W 0D 3L
2.2 GF · 2 GA
L
H
FSV Mainz 05
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
1-2
L
H
FC Bayern München
1-5
FC Bayern München
1-5
W
H
SC Freiburg
2-0
SC Freiburg
2-0
L
H
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1-3
W
H
Eintracht Frankfurt
6-0
Eintracht Frankfurt
6-0
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
W
A
FC Köln
2-1
FC Köln
2-1
D
A
St. Pauli
1-1
St. Pauli
1-1
W
A
Heidenheim
3-0
Heidenheim
3-0
L
A
FC Union Berlin
1-3
FC Union Berlin
1-3
D
A
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-0
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.8 GA
W
A
FC Köln
2-1
FC Köln
2-1
L
H
FSV Mainz 05
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
1-2
D
A
St. Pauli
1-1
St. Pauli
1-1
W
A
Heidenheim
3-0
Heidenheim
3-0
L
H
FC Bayern München
1-5
FC Bayern München
1-5
FC Bayern München
4W 1D 0L
3.2 GF · 1 GA
D
A
Hamburger SV
2-2
Hamburger SV
2-2
W
A
PSV
2-1
PSV
2-1
W
A
RB Leipzig
5-1
RB Leipzig
5-1
W
A
FC Köln
3-1
FC Köln
3-1
W
A
Heidenheim
4-0
Heidenheim
4-0
3W 1D 1L
3.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
TSG Hoffenheim
5-1
TSG Hoffenheim
5-1
L
H
FC Augsburg
1-2
FC Augsburg
1-2
W
H
Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
W
H
VfL Wolfsburg
8-1
VfL Wolfsburg
8-1
D
H
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
4W 1D 0L
3.2 GF · 1 GA
D
A
Hamburger SV
2-2
Hamburger SV
2-2
W
A
PSV
2-1
PSV
2-1
W
A
RB Leipzig
5-1
RB Leipzig
5-1
W
A
FC Köln
3-1
FC Köln
3-1
W
A
Heidenheim
4-0
Heidenheim
4-0
3W 1D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
TSG Hoffenheim
5-1
TSG Hoffenheim
5-1
D
A
Hamburger SV
2-2
Hamburger SV
2-2
W
A
PSV
2-1
PSV
2-1
L
H
FC Augsburg
1-2
FC Augsburg
1-2
W
H
Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
Sidelined Players
RB Leipzig
7 out
Kevin Kampl
injury
Xaver Schlager
injury
Suleiman Sani
injury
Assan Ouédraogo
injury
Castello Lukeba
injury
+2 more
FC Bayern München
2 out
Jamal Musiala
injury
Manuel Neuer
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
RB Leipzig
1
10%
Draws
3
30%
FC Bayern München
6
60%
Avg Goals
4.7
BTTS
90%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.1
HIGH
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
60%
Final Words
The head-to-head favors FC Bayern München in recent meetings.