Value Assessment
Home Win
1.89
45% pred
-7.9%
Draw
3.23
27% pred
-4.1%
Away Win
4.56
28% pred
+6.2%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
2.15
40%
BTTS No
1.66
56%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
4.56
+6.2% edge
28% probability
Expected value: +0.28 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
70%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Mallorca in position 17 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactMust Win
Mallorca in position 17 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
High impactHome Fortress
Rayo Vallecano unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (4 wins, 4 draws) - strong home advantage
Medium impactMatch Normality
80%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Jan 11 2026
·
13:00
Venue
Estadio de Vallecas
(Madrid)
Competition
La Liga
·
19
Coaches
Iñigo Pérez
Rayo Vallecano
Arrasate
Mallorca
Referee
Juan Martínez Munuera
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Rayo Vallecano
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Osasuna
1-3
Osasuna
1-3
W
H
Mallorca
2-1
Mallorca
2-1
D
H
Getafe
1-1
Getafe
1-1
W
H
Drita
3-0
Drita
3-0
D
H
Real Betis
0-0
Real Betis
0-0
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
L
H
Osasuna
1-3
Osasuna
1-3
W
H
Mallorca
2-1
Mallorca
2-1
D
H
Getafe
1-1
Getafe
1-1
W
H
Drita
3-0
Drita
3-0
D
H
Real Betis
0-0
Real Betis
0-0
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.4 GA
L
A
Real Madrid
1-2
Real Madrid
1-2
L
A
Celta de Vigo
0-3
Celta de Vigo
0-3
L
A
Deportivo Alavés
0-2
Deportivo Alavés
0-2
W
A
Granada
3-1
Granada
3-1
L
A
Elche
0-4
Elche
0-4
1W 0D 4L
0.8 GF · 2.2 GA
L
A
Real Madrid
1-2
Real Madrid
1-2
L
H
Osasuna
1-3
Osasuna
1-3
L
A
Celta de Vigo
0-3
Celta de Vigo
0-3
L
A
Deportivo Alavés
0-2
Deportivo Alavés
0-2
W
H
Mallorca
2-1
Mallorca
2-1
Mallorca
0W 1D 4L
0.4 GF · 2 GA
L
A
FC Barcelona
0-3
FC Barcelona
0-3
L
A
Atlético Madrid
0-3
Atlético Madrid
0-3
L
A
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
D
A
Valencia
1-1
Valencia
1-1
L
A
Deportivo La Coruña
0-1
Deportivo La Coruña
0-1
3W 1D 1L
2.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Sevilla
4-1
Sevilla
4-1
W
H
Athletic Club
3-2
Athletic Club
3-2
L
H
Girona
1-2
Girona
1-2
W
H
Elche
3-1
Elche
3-1
D
H
Osasuna
2-2
Osasuna
2-2
0W 1D 4L
0.4 GF · 2 GA
L
A
FC Barcelona
0-3
FC Barcelona
0-3
L
A
Atlético Madrid
0-3
Atlético Madrid
0-3
L
A
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
D
A
Valencia
1-1
Valencia
1-1
L
A
Deportivo La Coruña
0-1
Deportivo La Coruña
0-1
2W 0D 3L
1.6 GF · 2.2 GA
L
A
FC Barcelona
0-3
FC Barcelona
0-3
W
H
Sevilla
4-1
Sevilla
4-1
L
A
Atlético Madrid
0-3
Atlético Madrid
0-3
W
H
Athletic Club
3-2
Athletic Club
3-2
L
A
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Sidelined Players
Rayo Vallecano
1 out
Joni Montiel
injury
Mallorca
3 out
Manu Morlanes
injury
Jan Salas
injury
Iván Cuéllar
suspension
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Rayo Vallecano
3
30%
Draws
2
20%
Mallorca
5
50%
Avg Goals
2.4
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
46%
LOW
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.6
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
27%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
46%
Final Words
Rayo Vallecano have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches.