PSV vs NAC Breda

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.37
78% pred
+4.7%
MARGINAL
Draw
5.23
15% pred
-4.5%
Away Win
7.19
8% pred
-6.2%
BTTS Yes 1.68 43%
BTTS No 2.09 50%

Key Insights

Title Race

PSV

PSV leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Relegation Zone

NAC Breda

NAC Breda in position 17 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

Rotation Risk

PSV

PSV has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

NAC Breda

NAC Breda in position 17 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

NAC Breda

NAC Breda without a win in 5 games (3 draws, 2 losses) - struggling for results

High impact

Away Struggles

NAC Breda

NAC Breda winless in last 8 away matches (4 draws, 4 losses) - poor away record

Medium impact

High Scoring

PSV

PSV involved in high-scoring games: 9 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 24 2026 · 19:00
Venue
Philips Stadion (Eindhoven)
Competition
Eredivisie · 20
Coaches
Peter Bosz
Peter Bosz
PSV
Carl Hoefkens
Carl Hoefkens
NAC Breda
Referee
Dennis Higler Dennis Higler

Recent Form

PSV PSV
3W 1D 1L
3 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Feyenoord Feyenoord 3-0
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-2
D H NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-2
W H Excelsior Excelsior 5-1
W H Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo 4-3
3W 1D 1L
3 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Feyenoord Feyenoord 3-0
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-2
D H NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-2
W H Excelsior Excelsior 5-1
W H Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo 4-3
4W 0D 1L
2 GF · 1.2 GA
L A Newcastle United Newcastle United 0-3
W A Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-1
W A FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 2-1
W A SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen 2-0
W A Liverpool Liverpool 4-1
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Feyenoord Feyenoord 3-0
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-2
D H NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-2
L A Newcastle United Newcastle United 0-3
W A Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-1
NAC Breda NAC Breda
0W 2D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.2 GA
D A PSV PSV 2-2
D A FC Groningen FC Groningen 0-0
L A Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-1
L A Excelsior Excelsior 0-1
L A FC Volendam FC Volendam 1-2
0W 2D 3L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
D H FC Twente FC Twente 2-2
L H NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-4
L H Telstar Telstar 0-1
D H FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 1-1
L H PSV PSV 0-1
0W 2D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.2 GA
D A PSV PSV 2-2
D A FC Groningen FC Groningen 0-0
L A Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-1
L A Excelsior Excelsior 0-1
L A FC Volendam FC Volendam 1-2
0W 3D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
D H FC Twente FC Twente 2-2
D A PSV PSV 2-2
L H NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-4
D A FC Groningen FC Groningen 0-0
L H Telstar Telstar 0-1

Sidelined Players

PSV PSV 7 out
Alassane Pléa
Alassane Pléa
injury
Armando Obispo
Armando Obispo
injury
Myron Boadu
Myron Boadu
injury
Nick Olij
Nick Olij
injury
Ricardo Pepi
Ricardo Pepi
injury

+2 more

NAC Breda NAC Breda 1 out
Fredrik Oldrup Jensen
Fredrik Oldrup Jensen
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

PSV
9
90%
Draws
1
10%
NAC Breda
0
0%
Avg Goals
3.7
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
53%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%

Final Words

NAC Breda have been inconsistent, managing just 0 win in their last 5. Historically, PSV have dominated this fixture.