Value Assessment
Home Win
1.10
74% pred
-16.7%
Draw
10.60
16% pred
+6.6%
VALUE
Away Win
16.60
10% pred
+3.8%
MARGINAL
BTTS Yes
1.69
52%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Draw
@
10.60
+6.6% edge
16% probability
Expected value: +0.70 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
68%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Dec 13 2025
·
19:00
Venue
Philips Stadion
(Eindhoven)
Competition
Eredivisie
·
16
Coaches
Peter Bosz
PSV
Ernest Faber
Heracles Almelo
Referee
Alex Bos
Related Coverage
Recent Form
PSV
3W 1D 1L
3 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Feyenoord
3-0
Feyenoord
3-0
L
H
FC Bayern München
1-2
FC Bayern München
1-2
D
H
NAC Breda
2-2
NAC Breda
2-2
W
H
Excelsior
5-1
Excelsior
5-1
W
H
Heracles Almelo
4-3
Heracles Almelo
4-3
3W 1D 1L
3 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Feyenoord
3-0
Feyenoord
3-0
L
H
FC Bayern München
1-2
FC Bayern München
1-2
D
H
NAC Breda
2-2
NAC Breda
2-2
W
H
Excelsior
5-1
Excelsior
5-1
W
H
Heracles Almelo
4-3
Heracles Almelo
4-3
4W 0D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W
A
FC Groningen
2-1
FC Groningen
2-1
L
A
Newcastle United
0-3
Newcastle United
0-3
W
A
Fortuna Sittard
2-1
Fortuna Sittard
2-1
W
A
FC Utrecht
2-1
FC Utrecht
2-1
W
A
SC Heerenveen
2-0
SC Heerenveen
2-0
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
FC Groningen
2-1
FC Groningen
2-1
W
H
Feyenoord
3-0
Feyenoord
3-0
L
H
FC Bayern München
1-2
FC Bayern München
1-2
D
H
NAC Breda
2-2
NAC Breda
2-2
L
A
Newcastle United
0-3
Newcastle United
0-3
Heracles Almelo
0W 1D 4L
1.4 GF · 3 GA
L
A
NEC Nijmegen
1-4
NEC Nijmegen
1-4
L
A
Feyenoord
2-4
Feyenoord
2-4
L
A
Sparta Rotterdam
0-2
Sparta Rotterdam
0-2
L
A
PSV
3-4
PSV
3-4
D
A
Fortuna Sittard
1-1
Fortuna Sittard
1-1
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.8 GA
W
H
Fortuna Sittard
2-1
Fortuna Sittard
2-1
L
H
FC Twente
0-2
FC Twente
0-2
L
H
SC Heerenveen
0-3
SC Heerenveen
0-3
D
H
Telstar
1-1
Telstar
1-1
W
H
Go Ahead Eagles
4-2
Go Ahead Eagles
4-2
0W 1D 4L
1.4 GF · 3 GA
L
A
NEC Nijmegen
1-4
NEC Nijmegen
1-4
L
A
Feyenoord
2-4
Feyenoord
2-4
L
A
Sparta Rotterdam
0-2
Sparta Rotterdam
0-2
L
A
PSV
3-4
PSV
3-4
D
A
Fortuna Sittard
1-1
Fortuna Sittard
1-1
1W 0D 4L
1 GF · 2.6 GA
L
A
NEC Nijmegen
1-4
NEC Nijmegen
1-4
W
H
Fortuna Sittard
2-1
Fortuna Sittard
2-1
L
A
Feyenoord
2-4
Feyenoord
2-4
L
H
FC Twente
0-2
FC Twente
0-2
L
A
Sparta Rotterdam
0-2
Sparta Rotterdam
0-2
Sidelined Players
PSV
7 out
Alassane Pléa
injury
Richard Ledezma
injury
Armando Obispo
injury
Nick Olij
injury
Matej Kovar
injury
+2 more
Heracles Almelo
2 out
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde
injury
Sem Scheperman
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
PSV
9
90%
Draws
1
10%
Heracles Almelo
0
0%
Avg Goals
3.7
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%
Final Words
Heracles Almelo have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, PSV have dominated this fixture.