PSV vs FC Bayern München - Champions League Prediction

Value Assessment Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win

4.71

29% pred

+8.2%

VALUE

Draw

4.56

23% pred

+1.5%

Away Win

1.60

47% pred

-15.4%

BTTS Yes 1.41 52%

BTTS No 2.83 34%

Key Insights

Title Race

FC Bayern München in position 2, 3 points behind leader - competing for title

High impact

Rotation Risk

PSV has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

FC Bayern München has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

PSV in position 22 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Away Specialist

FC Bayern München exceptional away form: 6 wins in last 8 away matches (75% win rate)

Medium impact

High Scoring

PSV involved in high-scoring games: 9 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

High Scoring

FC Bayern München involved in high-scoring games: 9 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

PSV matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

BTTS Tendency

FC Bayern München matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Medium impact

Leaky Defense

PSV has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Medium impact

Top Scorer

FC Bayern München has Harry Kane ranked #2 in league scoring (7 goals) - strong attacking threat

Medium impact

Match Normality

70%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff

Wed, Jan 28 2026 · 20:00

Venue

Philips Stadion (Eindhoven)

Competition

Champions League · League Stage , 8

Coaches

Peter Bosz

PSV

Vincent Kompany

FC Bayern München

Referee

Joao Pedro Pinheiro

Recent Form

PSV

3W 1D 1L

3 GF · 1.6 GA

W H

Feyenoord 3-0

L H

FC Bayern München 1-2

D H

NAC Breda 2-2

W H

Excelsior 5-1

W H

Heracles Almelo 4-3

3W 1D 1L

3 GF · 1.6 GA

W H

Feyenoord 3-0

L H

FC Bayern München 1-2

D H

NAC Breda 2-2

W H

Excelsior 5-1

W H

Heracles Almelo 4-3

4W 0D 1L

2 GF · 1.2 GA

L A

Newcastle United 0-3

W A

Fortuna Sittard 2-1

W A

FC Utrecht 2-1

W A

SC Heerenveen 2-0

W A

Liverpool 4-1

2W 1D 2L

1.6 GF · 1.6 GA

W H

Feyenoord 3-0

L H

FC Bayern München 1-2

D H

NAC Breda 2-2

L A

Newcastle United 0-3

W A

Fortuna Sittard 2-1

FC Bayern München

4W 1D 0L

3.2 GF · 1 GA

D A

Hamburger SV 2-2

W A PSV

PSV 2-1

W A

RB Leipzig 5-1

W A

FC Köln 3-1

W A

Heidenheim 4-0

3W 1D 1L

3.2 GF · 1.2 GA

L H

FC Augsburg 1-2

W H

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0

W H

VfL Wolfsburg 8-1

D H

FSV Mainz 05 2-2

W H

Sporting CP 3-1

4W 1D 0L

3.2 GF · 1 GA

D A

Hamburger SV 2-2

W A PSV

PSV 2-1

W A

RB Leipzig 5-1

W A

FC Köln 3-1

W A

Heidenheim 4-0

3W 1D 1L

2.4 GF · 1.2 GA

D A

Hamburger SV 2-2

W A PSV

PSV 2-1

L H

FC Augsburg 1-2

W H

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0

W A

RB Leipzig 5-1

Sidelined Players

PSV 7 out

Alassane Pléa

injury

Armando Obispo

injury

Myron Boadu

injury

Nick Olij

injury

Ricardo Pepi

injury

+2 more

FC Bayern München 3 out

Jamal Musiala

injury

Konrad Laimer

injury

Raphaël Guerreiro

injury

Head-to-Head (Last 3)

PSV

Draws

FC Bayern München

100%

Avg Goals

3.7

BTTS

100%

League Signals

Predictability

57%

MEDIUM

Home Bias

+9%

MODERATE

Avg Goals

3.0

HIGH

Draw Rate

20%

BTTS

51%

Over 2.5

57%

Final Words

The head-to-head favors FC Bayern München in recent meetings.