Just Football Predictions

PSV vs Excelsior

Full Time
Eredivisie Philips Stadion
PSV

PSV

5
-
1
Excelsior

Excelsior

Value Assessment Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
1.15
76% pred
-10.8%
Draw
8.45
14% pred
+1.7%
Away Win
13.54
10% pred
+3.0%
BTTS Yes 1.71 55%
BTTS No 2.06 40%

Key Insights

Title Race

PSV

PSV leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Match Normality

100%

Normal match expected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 10 2026 · 19:00
Venue
Philips Stadion (Eindhoven)
Competition
Eredivisie · 18
Coaches
Peter Bosz
Peter Bosz
PSV
Ruben den Uil
Ruben den Uil
Excelsior
Referee
Joey Kooij Joey Kooij
Related Coverage
League season story PSV form report Excelsior form report

Recent Form

PSV PSV
3W 1D 1L
3 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Feyenoord Feyenoord 3-0
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-2
D H NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-2
W H Excelsior Excelsior 5-1
W H Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo 4-3
3W 1D 1L
3 GF · 1.6 GA
W H Feyenoord Feyenoord 3-0
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-2
D H NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-2
W H Excelsior Excelsior 5-1
W H Heracles Almelo Heracles Almelo 4-3
4W 0D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.2 GA
W A FC Groningen FC Groningen 2-1
L A Newcastle United Newcastle United 0-3
W A Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-1
W A FC Utrecht FC Utrecht 2-1
W A SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen 2-0
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W A FC Groningen FC Groningen 2-1
W H Feyenoord Feyenoord 3-0
L H FC Bayern München FC Bayern München 1-2
D H NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-2
L A Newcastle United Newcastle United 0-3
Excelsior Excelsior
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W A NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-0
D A FC Twente FC Twente 0-0
D A AZ AZ 1-1
L A PSV PSV 1-5
W A Ajax Ajax 2-1
2W 2D 1L
1.4 GF · 1.4 GA
D H Ajax Ajax 2-2
D H Telstar Telstar 2-2
W H PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 2-1
L H FC Groningen FC Groningen 0-2
W H NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-0
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W A NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-0
D A FC Twente FC Twente 0-0
D A AZ AZ 1-1
L A PSV PSV 1-5
W A Ajax Ajax 2-1
1W 4D 0L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
W A NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-0
D H Ajax Ajax 2-2
D A FC Twente FC Twente 0-0
D A AZ AZ 1-1
D H Telstar Telstar 2-2

Sidelined Players

PSV PSV 7 out
Alassane Pléa
Alassane Pléa
injury
Richard Ledezma
Richard Ledezma
injury
Armando Obispo
Armando Obispo
injury
Nick Olij
Nick Olij
injury
Matej Kovar
Matej Kovar
injury

+2 more

Excelsior Excelsior 1 out
Zach Booth
Zach Booth
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

PSV
10
100%
Draws
0
0%
Excelsior
0
0%
Avg Goals
3.8
BTTS
50%

League Signals

Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%

Final Words

Excelsior have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, PSV have dominated this fixture.