Just Football Predictions

Preston North End vs Derby County

Full Time
Championship Deepdale
Preston North End

Preston North End

0
-
1
Derby County

Derby County

Value Assessment Key Insights Match Context Recent Form Sidelined Head-to-Head League Signals Final Words

Value Assessment

Home Win
2.27
43% pred
-1.0%
Draw
3.09
25% pred
-7.0%
Away Win
3.32
32% pred
+1.5%
BTTS Yes 1.98 42%
BTTS No 1.78 51%

Key Insights

European Race

Preston North End

Preston North End in position 6 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Derby County

Derby County has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Away Specialist

Derby County

Derby County exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Medium impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 15:00
Venue
Deepdale (Preston)
Competition
Championship · 27
Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom
Paul Heckingbottom
Preston North End
John Eustace
John Eustace
Derby County
Referee
Farai Hallam Farai Hallam
Related Coverage
League season story Preston North End form report Derby County form report

Recent Form

Preston North End Preston North End
2W 0D 3L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
W H Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-0
L H Hull City Hull City 0-3
L H Derby County Derby County 0-1
L H Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-1
W H Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 3-0
2W 0D 3L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
W H Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-0
L H Hull City Hull City 0-3
L H Derby County Derby County 0-1
L H Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-1
W H Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 3-0
1W 2D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
D A Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1
L A Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-4
W A Bristol City Bristol City 2-0
L A Wrexham Wrexham 1-2
D A Stoke City Stoke City 0-0
1W 1D 3L
0.4 GF · 1.8 GA
W H Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-0
D A Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1
L A Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-4
L H Hull City Hull City 0-3
L H Derby County Derby County 0-1
Derby County Derby County
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Bristol City Bristol City 5-0
W A Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1
W A Preston North End Preston North End 1-0
L A Leicester City Leicester City 1-2
D A Birmingham City Birmingham City 1-1
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
L H Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2
D H West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 1-1
L H Leeds United Leeds United 1-3
L H Wrexham Wrexham 1-2
W H Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-0
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Bristol City Bristol City 5-0
W A Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1
W A Preston North End Preston North End 1-0
L A Leicester City Leicester City 1-2
D A Birmingham City Birmingham City 1-1
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
L H Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2
W A Bristol City Bristol City 5-0
D H West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 1-1
W A Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1
W A Preston North End Preston North End 1-0

Sidelined Players

Preston North End Preston North End 0 out

No reported absences

Derby County Derby County 4 out
Lewis Travis
Lewis Travis
suspended
Jacob Widell Zetterström
Jacob Widell Zetterström
injury
Sondre Langås
Sondre Langås
injury
Carlton Morris
Carlton Morris
injury

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Preston North End
4
40%
Draws
2
20%
Derby County
4
40%
Avg Goals
1.5
BTTS
20%

League Signals

Predictability
51%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%

Final Words

Preston North End have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches.