Value Assessment
Home Win
2.34
32% pred
-10.6%
Draw
3.18
25% pred
-6.5%
Away Win
3.07
43% pred
+10.4%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.83
46%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
3.07
+10.4% edge
43% probability
Expected value: +0.32 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
69%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Nov 22 2025
·
15:00
Venue
Fratton Park
(Portsmouth)
Competition
Championship
·
16
Coaches
John Mousinho
Portsmouth
Alex Neil
Millwall
Referee
Michael Salisbury
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Portsmouth
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
West Bromwich Albion
3-0
West Bromwich Albion
3-0
D
H
Southampton
1-1
Southampton
1-1
L
H
Arsenal
1-4
Arsenal
1-4
W
H
Charlton Athletic
2-1
Charlton Athletic
2-1
D
H
Queens Park Rangers
1-1
Queens Park Rangers
1-1
2W 2D 1L
1.6 GF · 1.4 GA
W
H
West Bromwich Albion
3-0
West Bromwich Albion
3-0
D
H
Southampton
1-1
Southampton
1-1
L
H
Arsenal
1-4
Arsenal
1-4
W
H
Charlton Athletic
2-1
Charlton Athletic
2-1
D
H
Queens Park Rangers
1-1
Queens Park Rangers
1-1
1W 2D 2L
0.6 GF · 1.6 GA
L
A
Preston North End
0-1
Preston North End
0-1
D
A
Watford
1-1
Watford
1-1
W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
1-0
Sheffield Wednesday
1-0
L
A
Bristol City
0-5
Bristol City
0-5
D
A
Derby County
1-1
Derby County
1-1
2W 2D 1L
1.2 GF · 0.6 GA
L
A
Preston North End
0-1
Preston North End
0-1
W
H
West Bromwich Albion
3-0
West Bromwich Albion
3-0
D
H
Southampton
1-1
Southampton
1-1
D
A
Watford
1-1
Watford
1-1
W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
1-0
Sheffield Wednesday
1-0
Millwall
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
Wrexham
2-0
Wrexham
2-0
L
A
Coventry City
1-2
Coventry City
1-2
W
A
Watford
2-0
Watford
2-0
L
A
Burnley
1-5
Burnley
1-5
D
A
Southampton
0-0
Southampton
0-0
3W 2D 0L
1.8 GF · 0.6 GA
D
H
Sheffield United
1-1
Sheffield United
1-1
W
H
Charlton Athletic
4-0
Charlton Athletic
4-0
W
H
Swansea City
2-1
Swansea City
2-1
W
H
Bristol City
2-1
Bristol City
2-1
D
H
Ipswich Town
0-0
Ipswich Town
0-0
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
Wrexham
2-0
Wrexham
2-0
L
A
Coventry City
1-2
Coventry City
1-2
W
A
Watford
2-0
Watford
2-0
L
A
Burnley
1-5
Burnley
1-5
D
A
Southampton
0-0
Southampton
0-0
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.6 GA
W
A
Wrexham
2-0
Wrexham
2-0
D
H
Sheffield United
1-1
Sheffield United
1-1
W
H
Charlton Athletic
4-0
Charlton Athletic
4-0
L
A
Coventry City
1-2
Coventry City
1-2
W
A
Watford
2-0
Watford
2-0
Sidelined Players
Portsmouth
1 out
Joe Morrell
injury
Millwall
3 out
Lukas Jensen
injury
Danny McNamara
injury
Will Smallbone
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 9)
Portsmouth
6
67%
Draws
1
11%
Millwall
2
22%
Avg Goals
1.9
BTTS
44%
League Signals
Predictability
51%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.5
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
26%
BTTS
49%
Over 2.5
46%
Final Words
Historically, Portsmouth have dominated this fixture.