Value Assessment
Home Win
1.23
62% pred
-19.6%
Draw
6.38
22% pred
+6.2%
VALUE
Away Win
10.92
16% pred
+7.3%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
2.03
39%
BTTS No
1.74
51%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
10.92
+7.3% edge
16% probability
Expected value: +0.79 units per bet
Confidence
Low
56%
Key Insights
Relegation Zone
Rangers in position 32 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Medium impactEuropean Race
Porto in position 5 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactRotation Risk
Rangers has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
High impactStreak Watch
Porto unbeaten in 5 games (4 wins, 1 draws) - solid defensive form
Medium impactHome Fortress
Porto unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (8 wins, 0 draws) - strong home advantage
Medium impactDefensive Fortress
Porto has excellent defensive record: 5 clean sheets in last 8 matches (62%) - favors Under/BTTS No
Medium impactDefensive Fortress
Rangers has excellent defensive record: 5 clean sheets in last 8 matches (62%) - favors Under/BTTS No
Medium impactMatch Normality
60%
Significant concerns
Match Info
Kickoff
Thu, Jan 29 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Estádio Do Dragão
(Porto)
Competition
Europa League
·
League Stage
, 8
Coaches
Francesco Farioli
Porto
Danny Röhl
Rangers
Referee
Jasper Vergoote
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Porto
4W 1D 0L
2.4 GF · 0.6 GA
D
H
Sporting CP
1-1
Sporting CP
1-1
W
H
Rangers
3-1
Rangers
3-1
W
H
Gil Vicente
3-0
Gil Vicente
3-0
W
H
AVS
2-0
AVS
2-0
W
H
Estrela Amadora
3-1
Estrela Amadora
3-1
4W 1D 0L
2.4 GF · 0.6 GA
D
H
Sporting CP
1-1
Sporting CP
1-1
W
H
Rangers
3-1
Rangers
3-1
W
H
Gil Vicente
3-0
Gil Vicente
3-0
W
H
AVS
2-0
AVS
2-0
W
H
Estrela Amadora
3-1
Estrela Amadora
3-1
3W 1D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
L
A
Casa Pia
1-2
Casa Pia
1-2
D
A
Viktoria Plzeň
1-1
Viktoria Plzeň
1-1
W
A
Vitória Guimarães
1-0
Vitória Guimarães
1-0
W
A
Santa Clara
1-0
Santa Clara
1-0
W
A
Alverca
3-0
Alverca
3-0
2W 2D 1L
1.8 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Sporting CP
1-1
Sporting CP
1-1
L
A
Casa Pia
1-2
Casa Pia
1-2
W
H
Rangers
3-1
Rangers
3-1
W
H
Gil Vicente
3-0
Gil Vicente
3-0
D
A
Viktoria Plzeň
1-1
Viktoria Plzeň
1-1
Rangers
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
D
A
Hibernian
0-0
Hibernian
0-0
L
A
Porto
1-3
Porto
1-3
W
A
Aberdeen
2-0
Aberdeen
2-0
W
A
Celtic
3-1
Celtic
3-1
L
A
Hearts
1-2
Hearts
1-2
5W 0D 0L
2.6 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
Kilmarnock
5-1
Kilmarnock
5-1
W
H
Dundee
3-0
Dundee
3-0
W
H
Ludogorets
1-0
Ludogorets
1-0
W
H
Aberdeen
2-0
Aberdeen
2-0
W
H
St. Mirren
2-1
St. Mirren
2-1
2W 1D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
D
A
Hibernian
0-0
Hibernian
0-0
L
A
Porto
1-3
Porto
1-3
W
A
Aberdeen
2-0
Aberdeen
2-0
W
A
Celtic
3-1
Celtic
3-1
L
A
Hearts
1-2
Hearts
1-2
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Kilmarnock
5-1
Kilmarnock
5-1
D
A
Hibernian
0-0
Hibernian
0-0
L
A
Porto
1-3
Porto
1-3
W
H
Dundee
3-0
Dundee
3-0
W
H
Ludogorets
1-0
Ludogorets
1-0
Sidelined Players
Porto
4 out
Iván Marcano
injury
Luuk de Jong
injury
Nehuén Pérez
injury
Gabri Veiga
injury
Rangers
0 out
No reported absences
Head-to-Head (Last 5)
Porto
1
20%
Draws
2
40%
Rangers
2
40%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
80%
League Signals
Predictability
56%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+12%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
21%
BTTS
53%
Over 2.5
56%