Value Assessment
Home Win
5.69
22% pred
+4.0%
MARGINAL
Draw
4.57
27% pred
+5.4%
VALUE
Away Win
1.49
51% pred
-15.9%
BTTS Yes
1.61
54%
BTTS No
2.23
40%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Draw
@
4.57
+5.4% edge
27% probability
Expected value: +0.25 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
63%
Key Insights
European Race
AZ in position 6 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactMatch Normality
90%
Normal match expected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 17 2026
·
17:45
Venue
MAC³PARK Stadion
(Zwolle)
Competition
Eredivisie
·
19
Coaches
Henry van der Vegt
PEC Zwolle
Leeroy Echteld
AZ
Referee
Dennis Higler
Related Coverage
Recent Form
PEC Zwolle
4W 0D 1L
2.2 GF · 1 GA
L
H
FC Volendam
1-2
FC Volendam
1-2
W
H
Telstar
4-1
Telstar
4-1
W
H
AZ
3-1
AZ
3-1
W
H
Fortuna Sittard
1-0
Fortuna Sittard
1-0
W
H
SC Heerenveen
2-1
SC Heerenveen
2-1
4W 0D 1L
2.2 GF · 1 GA
L
H
FC Volendam
1-2
FC Volendam
1-2
W
H
Telstar
4-1
Telstar
4-1
W
H
AZ
3-1
AZ
3-1
W
H
Fortuna Sittard
1-0
Fortuna Sittard
1-0
W
H
SC Heerenveen
2-1
SC Heerenveen
2-1
0W 2D 3L
1.2 GF · 2.6 GA
L
A
NEC Nijmegen
1-2
NEC Nijmegen
1-2
D
A
FC Twente
1-1
FC Twente
1-1
L
A
Excelsior
1-2
Excelsior
1-2
L
A
Feyenoord
1-6
Feyenoord
1-6
D
A
FC Groningen
2-2
FC Groningen
2-2
2W 1D 2L
2 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
FC Volendam
1-2
FC Volendam
1-2
W
H
Telstar
4-1
Telstar
4-1
L
A
NEC Nijmegen
1-2
NEC Nijmegen
1-2
W
H
AZ
3-1
AZ
3-1
D
A
FC Twente
1-1
FC Twente
1-1
AZ
2W 0D 3L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Telstar
1-0
Telstar
1-0
L
A
PEC Zwolle
1-3
PEC Zwolle
1-3
L
A
Fortuna Sittard
3-4
Fortuna Sittard
3-4
W
A
Drita
3-0
Drita
3-0
L
A
FC Twente
0-1
FC Twente
0-1
1W 3D 1L
0.8 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Ajax
1-1
Ajax
1-1
L
H
NEC Nijmegen
1-3
NEC Nijmegen
1-3
D
H
Excelsior
1-1
Excelsior
1-1
W
H
FC Volendam
1-0
FC Volendam
1-0
D
H
Jagiellonia Białystok
0-0
Jagiellonia Białystok
0-0
2W 0D 3L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Telstar
1-0
Telstar
1-0
L
A
PEC Zwolle
1-3
PEC Zwolle
1-3
L
A
Fortuna Sittard
3-4
Fortuna Sittard
3-4
W
A
Drita
3-0
Drita
3-0
L
A
FC Twente
0-1
FC Twente
0-1
1W 2D 2L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
D
H
Ajax
1-1
Ajax
1-1
L
H
NEC Nijmegen
1-3
NEC Nijmegen
1-3
W
A
Telstar
1-0
Telstar
1-0
D
H
Excelsior
1-1
Excelsior
1-1
L
A
PEC Zwolle
1-3
PEC Zwolle
1-3
Sidelined Players
PEC Zwolle
4 out
Jasper Schendelaar
injury
Odysseus Velanas
injury
Samir Lagsir
injury
Braydon Manu
suspended
AZ
6 out
Denso Kasius
injury
Jordy Clasie
injury
Lequincio Zeefuik
injury
Sven Mijnans
injury
Mexx Meerdink
injury
+1 more
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
PEC Zwolle
2
20%
Draws
4
40%
AZ
4
40%
Avg Goals
3.2
BTTS
80%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+8%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
24%
BTTS
55%
Over 2.5
58%
Final Words
AZ have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5.