Value Assessment
Home Win
1.55
58% pred
-6.9%
Draw
4.72
22% pred
+0.5%
Away Win
4.95
21% pred
+0.5%
BTTS Yes
1.46
43%
BTTS No
2.64
46%
VALUE
Key Insights
European Race
Paris Saint Germain in position 6 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactEuropean Race
Newcastle United in position 7 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactRotation Risk
Newcastle United has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
High impactTop Scorer
Newcastle United has Anthony Gordon ranked #3 in league scoring (6 goals) - strong attacking threat
Medium impactMarket Disagreement
Model sees 43.4% BTTS vs 68.5% market consensus - lower probability, 25.1% gap
High impactMatch Normality
55%
Significant concerns
Match Info
Kickoff
Wed, Jan 28 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Parc des Princes
(Paris)
Competition
Champions League
·
League Stage
, 8
Coaches
Luis Enrique
Paris Saint Germain
Eddie Howe
Newcastle United
Referee
Slavko Vinčić
Recent Form
Paris Saint Germain
4W 1D 0L
3.2 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Newcastle United
1-1
Newcastle United
1-1
W
H
LOSC Lille
3-0
LOSC Lille
3-0
W
H
Paris
2-1
Paris
2-1
W
H
Rennes
5-0
Rennes
5-0
W
H
Tottenham Hotspur
5-3
Tottenham Hotspur
5-3
4W 1D 0L
3.2 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Newcastle United
1-1
Newcastle United
1-1
W
H
LOSC Lille
3-0
LOSC Lille
3-0
W
H
Paris
2-1
Paris
2-1
W
H
Rennes
5-0
Rennes
5-0
W
H
Tottenham Hotspur
5-3
Tottenham Hotspur
5-3
3W 1D 1L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
W
A
Strasbourg
2-1
Strasbourg
2-1
W
A
Auxerre
1-0
Auxerre
1-0
L
A
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
W
A
Metz
3-2
Metz
3-2
D
A
Athletic Club
0-0
Athletic Club
0-0
3W 1D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.8 GA
W
A
Strasbourg
2-1
Strasbourg
2-1
D
H
Newcastle United
1-1
Newcastle United
1-1
W
A
Auxerre
1-0
Auxerre
1-0
L
A
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
W
H
LOSC Lille
3-0
LOSC Lille
3-0
Newcastle United
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Manchester City
1-3
Manchester City
1-3
L
A
Liverpool
1-4
Liverpool
1-4
D
A
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
D
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
W
A
Burnley
3-1
Burnley
3-1
2W 1D 2L
2 GF · 2 GA
L
H
Aston Villa
0-2
Aston Villa
0-2
W
H
PSV
3-0
PSV
3-0
L
H
Manchester City
0-2
Manchester City
0-2
D
H
AFC Bournemouth
3-3
AFC Bournemouth
3-3
W
H
Leeds United
4-3
Leeds United
4-3
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Manchester City
1-3
Manchester City
1-3
L
A
Liverpool
1-4
Liverpool
1-4
D
A
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
D
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
W
A
Burnley
3-1
Burnley
3-1
1W 1D 3L
1.2 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Manchester City
1-3
Manchester City
1-3
L
A
Liverpool
1-4
Liverpool
1-4
D
A
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
L
H
Aston Villa
0-2
Aston Villa
0-2
W
H
PSV
3-0
PSV
3-0
Sidelined Players
Paris Saint Germain
3 out
Quentin Ndjantou
injury
Fabián Ruiz
injury
Achraf Hakimi
suspended
Newcastle United
3 out
Fabian Schär
injury
Tino Livramento
injury
Sven Botman
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 3)
Paris Saint Germain
0
0%
Draws
2
67%
Newcastle United
1
33%
Avg Goals
3.0
BTTS
100%
League Signals
Predictability
57%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+9%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
3.0
HIGH
Draw Rate
20%
BTTS
51%
Over 2.5
57%
Final Words
Newcastle United have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. The head-to-head favors Newcastle United in recent meetings.