Value Assessment
Home Win
1.32
59% pred
-17.0%
Draw
5.46
23% pred
+4.4%
MARGINAL
Away Win
8.33
19% pred
+6.5%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.73
51%
BTTS No
2.04
43%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
8.33
+6.5% edge
19% probability
Expected value: +0.54 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
65%
Key Insights
Title Race
Paris Saint Germain in position 2, 1 point behind leader - competing for title
High impactEuropean Race
LOSC Lille in position 4 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactMatch Normality
85%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Fri, Jan 16 2026
·
20:00
Venue
Parc des Princes
(Paris)
Competition
Ligue 1
·
18
Coaches
Luis Enrique
Paris Saint Germain
Bruno Génésio
LOSC Lille
Referee
Jérôme Brisard
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Paris Saint Germain
4W 1D 0L
3.2 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
Olympique Marseille
5-0
Olympique Marseille
5-0
D
H
Newcastle United
1-1
Newcastle United
1-1
W
H
LOSC Lille
3-0
LOSC Lille
3-0
W
H
Paris
2-1
Paris
2-1
W
H
Rennes
5-0
Rennes
5-0
4W 1D 0L
3.2 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
Olympique Marseille
5-0
Olympique Marseille
5-0
D
H
Newcastle United
1-1
Newcastle United
1-1
W
H
LOSC Lille
3-0
LOSC Lille
3-0
W
H
Paris
2-1
Paris
2-1
W
H
Rennes
5-0
Rennes
5-0
3W 1D 1L
1.4 GF · 1 GA
W
A
Strasbourg
2-1
Strasbourg
2-1
W
A
Auxerre
1-0
Auxerre
1-0
L
A
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
W
A
Metz
3-2
Metz
3-2
D
A
Athletic Club
0-0
Athletic Club
0-0
3W 1D 1L
2 GF · 0.8 GA
W
H
Olympique Marseille
5-0
Olympique Marseille
5-0
W
A
Strasbourg
2-1
Strasbourg
2-1
D
H
Newcastle United
1-1
Newcastle United
1-1
W
A
Auxerre
1-0
Auxerre
1-0
L
A
Sporting CP
1-2
Sporting CP
1-2
LOSC Lille
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
D
A
Metz
0-0
Metz
0-0
L
A
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
L
A
Celta de Vigo
1-2
Celta de Vigo
1-2
L
A
Paris Saint Germain
0-3
Paris Saint Germain
0-3
W
A
Auxerre
4-3
Auxerre
4-3
3W 0D 2L
1.4 GF · 1.2 GA
W
H
SC Freiburg
1-0
SC Freiburg
1-0
L
H
Strasbourg
1-4
Strasbourg
1-4
L
H
Rennes
0-2
Rennes
0-2
W
H
Olympique Marseille
1-0
Olympique Marseille
1-0
W
H
Dinamo Zagreb
4-0
Dinamo Zagreb
4-0
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
D
A
Metz
0-0
Metz
0-0
L
A
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
L
A
Celta de Vigo
1-2
Celta de Vigo
1-2
L
A
Paris Saint Germain
0-3
Paris Saint Germain
0-3
W
A
Auxerre
4-3
Auxerre
4-3
1W 1D 3L
0.6 GF · 1.4 GA
D
A
Metz
0-0
Metz
0-0
L
A
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
W
H
SC Freiburg
1-0
SC Freiburg
1-0
L
H
Strasbourg
1-4
Strasbourg
1-4
L
A
Celta de Vigo
1-2
Celta de Vigo
1-2
Sidelined Players
Paris Saint Germain
2 out
Quentin Ndjantou
injury
Fabián Ruiz
injury
LOSC Lille
12 out
Ousmane Touré
injury
Hamza Igamane
injury
Thomas Meunier
injury
Osame Sahraoui
injury
Marc-Aurèle Caillard
injury
+7 more
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Paris Saint Germain
8
80%
Draws
2
20%
LOSC Lille
0
0%
Avg Goals
4.4
BTTS
90%
League Signals
Predictability
54%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.8
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
56%
Over 2.5
54%
Final Words
LOSC Lille have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, Paris Saint Germain have dominated this fixture.