Value Assessment
Home Win
1.23
70% pred
-11.2%
Draw
6.32
22% pred
+5.9%
VALUE
Away Win
11.73
8% pred
-0.3%
BTTS Yes
1.98
38%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Draw
@
6.32
+5.9% edge
22% probability
Expected value: +0.37 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
64%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Jan 4 2026
·
14:00
Venue
Stade Vélodrome
(Marseille)
Competition
Ligue 1
·
17
Coaches
Roberto De Zerbi
Olympique Marseille
Ahmed Kantari
Nantes
Referee
Marc Bollengier
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Olympique Marseille
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Lens
3-1
Lens
3-1
L
H
Liverpool
0-3
Liverpool
0-3
L
H
Nantes
0-2
Nantes
0-2
W
H
Monaco
1-0
Monaco
1-0
D
H
Toulouse
2-2
Toulouse
2-2
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Lens
3-1
Lens
3-1
L
H
Liverpool
0-3
Liverpool
0-3
L
H
Nantes
0-2
Nantes
0-2
W
H
Monaco
1-0
Monaco
1-0
D
H
Toulouse
2-2
Toulouse
2-2
2W 1D 2L
2 GF · 2.8 GA
L
A
Paris Saint Germain
0-5
Paris Saint Germain
0-5
D
A
Paris
2-2
Paris
2-2
L
A
Club Brugge
0-3
Club Brugge
0-3
W
A
Angers SCO
5-2
Angers SCO
5-2
W
A
Union Saint-Gilloise
3-2
Union Saint-Gilloise
3-2
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 2.8 GA
L
A
Paris Saint Germain
0-5
Paris Saint Germain
0-5
D
A
Paris
2-2
Paris
2-2
L
A
Club Brugge
0-3
Club Brugge
0-3
W
H
Lens
3-1
Lens
3-1
L
H
Liverpool
0-3
Liverpool
0-3
Nantes
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Lorient
1-2
Lorient
1-2
W
A
Olympique Marseille
2-0
Olympique Marseille
2-0
L
A
Angers SCO
1-4
Angers SCO
1-4
L
A
Olympique Lyonnais
0-3
Olympique Lyonnais
0-3
D
A
Le Havre
1-1
Le Havre
1-1
0W 1D 4L
0.8 GF · 2 GA
L
H
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
L
H
Nice
1-4
Nice
1-4
L
H
Paris
1-2
Paris
1-2
L
H
Lens
1-2
Lens
1-2
D
H
Lorient
1-1
Lorient
1-1
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 2 GA
L
A
Lorient
1-2
Lorient
1-2
W
A
Olympique Marseille
2-0
Olympique Marseille
2-0
L
A
Angers SCO
1-4
Angers SCO
1-4
L
A
Olympique Lyonnais
0-3
Olympique Lyonnais
0-3
D
A
Le Havre
1-1
Le Havre
1-1
1W 0D 4L
1 GF · 1.8 GA
L
H
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
Olympique Lyonnais
0-1
L
A
Lorient
1-2
Lorient
1-2
L
H
Nice
1-4
Nice
1-4
L
H
Paris
1-2
Paris
1-2
W
A
Olympique Marseille
2-0
Olympique Marseille
2-0
Sidelined Players
Olympique Marseille
2 out
Chancel Mbemba
suspension
Amine Harit
injury
Nantes
4 out
Nathan Zézé
suspension
Deiver Machado
injury
Ignatius Ganago
injury
Bahmed Deuff
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Olympique Marseille
7
70%
Draws
2
20%
Nantes
1
10%
Avg Goals
2.4
BTTS
50%
League Signals
Predictability
54%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.8
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
56%
Over 2.5
54%
Final Words
Olympique Marseille have struggled recently, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches. Nantes have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. Historically, Olympique Marseille have dominated this fixture.