Value Assessment
Home Win
2.07
40% pred
-8.5%
Draw
3.72
22% pred
-5.2%
Away Win
3.25
38% pred
+7.7%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.46
54%
BTTS No
2.60
40%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
3.25
+7.7% edge
38% probability
Expected value: +0.25 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
66%
Key Insights
Title Race
Lens in position 2, 2 points behind leader - competing for title
High impactEuropean Race
Olympique Marseille in position 3 - competing for European qualification
Medium impactRotation Risk
Olympique Marseille has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
High impactStreak Watch
Lens on 5-game winning streak - exceptional form
High impactAway Specialist
Lens exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)
Medium impactMatch Normality
75%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 24 2026
·
20:05
Venue
Stade Vélodrome
(Marseille)
Competition
Ligue 1
·
19
Coaches
Roberto De Zerbi
Olympique Marseille
Pierre Sage
Lens
Referee
Benoît Bastien
Recent Form
Olympique Marseille
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Lens
3-1
Lens
3-1
L
H
Liverpool
0-3
Liverpool
0-3
L
H
Nantes
0-2
Nantes
0-2
W
H
Monaco
1-0
Monaco
1-0
D
H
Toulouse
2-2
Toulouse
2-2
2W 1D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.6 GA
W
H
Lens
3-1
Lens
3-1
L
H
Liverpool
0-3
Liverpool
0-3
L
H
Nantes
0-2
Nantes
0-2
W
H
Monaco
1-0
Monaco
1-0
D
H
Toulouse
2-2
Toulouse
2-2
2W 1D 2L
2 GF · 2 GA
D
A
Paris
2-2
Paris
2-2
L
A
Club Brugge
0-3
Club Brugge
0-3
W
A
Angers SCO
5-2
Angers SCO
5-2
W
A
Union Saint-Gilloise
3-2
Union Saint-Gilloise
3-2
L
A
LOSC Lille
0-1
LOSC Lille
0-1
2W 1D 2L
2 GF · 2.2 GA
D
A
Paris
2-2
Paris
2-2
L
A
Club Brugge
0-3
Club Brugge
0-3
W
H
Lens
3-1
Lens
3-1
L
H
Liverpool
0-3
Liverpool
0-3
W
A
Angers SCO
5-2
Angers SCO
5-2
Lens
4W 0D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Olympique Marseille
1-3
Olympique Marseille
1-3
W
A
Toulouse
3-0
Toulouse
3-0
W
A
Nantes
2-1
Nantes
2-1
W
A
Angers SCO
2-1
Angers SCO
2-1
W
A
Monaco
4-1
Monaco
4-1
5W 0D 0L
1.6 GF · 0 GA
W
H
Le Havre
1-0
Le Havre
1-0
W
H
Auxerre
1-0
Auxerre
1-0
W
H
Nice
2-0
Nice
2-0
W
H
Strasbourg
1-0
Strasbourg
1-0
W
H
Lorient
3-0
Lorient
3-0
4W 0D 1L
2.4 GF · 1.2 GA
L
A
Olympique Marseille
1-3
Olympique Marseille
1-3
W
A
Toulouse
3-0
Toulouse
3-0
W
A
Nantes
2-1
Nantes
2-1
W
A
Angers SCO
2-1
Angers SCO
2-1
W
A
Monaco
4-1
Monaco
4-1
4W 0D 1L
1.6 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Le Havre
1-0
Le Havre
1-0
L
A
Olympique Marseille
1-3
Olympique Marseille
1-3
W
H
Auxerre
1-0
Auxerre
1-0
W
A
Toulouse
3-0
Toulouse
3-0
W
H
Nice
2-0
Nice
2-0
Sidelined Players
Olympique Marseille
3 out
Amine Harit
injury
Emerson
injury
Chancel Mbemba
suspension
Lens
6 out
Florian Thauvin
suspended
Florian Thauvin
suspended
Jonathan Gradit
injury
Régis Gurtner
injury
Anass Zaroury
suspension
+1 more
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Olympique Marseille
4
40%
Draws
0
0%
Lens
6
60%
Avg Goals
2.7
BTTS
60%
League Signals
Predictability
55%
MEDIUM
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.8
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
56%
Over 2.5
54%
Final Words
Lens arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games.