Value Assessment
Home Win
3.78
21% pred
-5.7%
Draw
3.33
23% pred
-6.6%
Away Win
2.00
56% pred
+5.8%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.89
42%
BTTS No
1.84
51%
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
2.00
+5.8% edge
56% probability
Expected value: +0.12 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
66%
Key Insights
Title Race
Union Saint-Gilloise leading the table - high motivation to maintain position
High impactRelegation Zone
OH Leuven in position 15 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
High impactRotation Risk
Union Saint-Gilloise has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Medium impactMatch Normality
80%
Minor irregularities detected
Match Info
Kickoff
Sat, Jan 24 2026
·
19:45
Venue
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
(Heverlee)
Competition
Pro League
·
22
Coaches
Felice Mazzù
OH Leuven
David Hubert
Union Saint-Gilloise
Referee
Michiel Allaerts
Recent Form
OH Leuven
0W 3D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
D
H
Mechelen
2-2
Mechelen
2-2
D
H
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-0
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-0
L
H
Cercle Brugge
0-2
Cercle Brugge
0-2
D
H
Zulte-Waregem
1-1
Zulte-Waregem
1-1
L
H
Sint-Truiden
1-2
Sint-Truiden
1-2
0W 3D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
D
H
Mechelen
2-2
Mechelen
2-2
D
H
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-0
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-0
L
H
Cercle Brugge
0-2
Cercle Brugge
0-2
D
H
Zulte-Waregem
1-1
Zulte-Waregem
1-1
L
H
Sint-Truiden
1-2
Sint-Truiden
1-2
2W 1D 2L
0.8 GF · 0.8 GA
L
A
Sint-Truiden
0-1
Sint-Truiden
0-1
D
A
La Louvière
0-0
La Louvière
0-0
W
A
Standard Liège
1-0
Standard Liège
1-0
L
A
Genk
1-2
Genk
1-2
W
A
Cercle Brugge
2-1
Cercle Brugge
2-1
0W 3D 2L
0.4 GF · 1 GA
D
H
Mechelen
2-2
Mechelen
2-2
D
H
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-0
Union Saint-Gilloise
0-0
L
A
Sint-Truiden
0-1
Sint-Truiden
0-1
D
A
La Louvière
0-0
La Louvière
0-0
L
H
Cercle Brugge
0-2
Cercle Brugge
0-2
Union Saint-Gilloise
0W 3D 2L
0.4 GF · 1 GA
D
A
OH Leuven
0-0
OH Leuven
0-0
L
A
FC Bayern München
0-2
FC Bayern München
0-2
D
A
Cercle Brugge
1-1
Cercle Brugge
1-1
D
A
Sporting Charleroi
1-1
Sporting Charleroi
1-1
L
A
Anderlecht
0-1
Anderlecht
0-1
4W 0D 1L
1.4 GF · 0.6 GA
W
H
Club Brugge
1-0
Club Brugge
1-0
W
H
Atalanta
1-0
Atalanta
1-0
W
H
Mechelen
1-0
Mechelen
1-0
W
H
Zulte-Waregem
2-0
Zulte-Waregem
2-0
L
H
Olympique Marseille
2-3
Olympique Marseille
2-3
0W 3D 2L
0.4 GF · 1 GA
D
A
OH Leuven
0-0
OH Leuven
0-0
L
A
FC Bayern München
0-2
FC Bayern München
0-2
D
A
Cercle Brugge
1-1
Cercle Brugge
1-1
D
A
Sporting Charleroi
1-1
Sporting Charleroi
1-1
L
A
Anderlecht
0-1
Anderlecht
0-1
3W 1D 1L
0.6 GF · 0.4 GA
W
H
Club Brugge
1-0
Club Brugge
1-0
W
H
Atalanta
1-0
Atalanta
1-0
D
A
OH Leuven
0-0
OH Leuven
0-0
L
A
FC Bayern München
0-2
FC Bayern München
0-2
W
H
Mechelen
1-0
Mechelen
1-0
Sidelined Players
OH Leuven
2 out
Bryang Kayo
injury
Roggerio Nyakossi
injury
Union Saint-Gilloise
2 out
Kevin Rodríguez
injury
Mamadou Thierno Barry
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
OH Leuven
1
10%
Draws
2
20%
Union Saint-Gilloise
7
70%
Avg Goals
2.9
BTTS
40%
League Signals
Predictability
49%
LOW
Home Bias
+7%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
25%
BTTS
56%
Over 2.5
56%
Final Words
OH Leuven have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. The head-to-head favors Union Saint-Gilloise in recent meetings.