Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal

Value Assessment

Home Win
5.84
16% pred
-0.7%
Draw
3.90
20% pred
-6.0%
Away Win
1.59
64% pred
+1.0%
BTTS Yes 2.02 41%
BTTS No 1.77 52%

Key Insights

Title Race

Arsenal

Arsenal leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

Relegation Zone

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest in position 17 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Arsenal

Arsenal has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest in position 17 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

Arsenal

Arsenal unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Match Normality

85%

Minor irregularities detected

Match Info

Kickoff
Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 17:30
Venue
The City Ground (Nottingham)
Competition
Premier League · 22
Coaches
Sean Dyche
Sean Dyche
Nottingham Forest
Mikel Arteta
Mikel Arteta
Arsenal
Referee
Michael Oliver Michael Oliver

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
D H Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1
W H Ferencvárosi Ferencvárosi 4-0
D H Arsenal Arsenal 0-0
L H Everton Everton 0-2
L H Manchester City Manchester City 1-2
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1 GA
D H Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1
W H Ferencvárosi Ferencvárosi 4-0
D H Arsenal Arsenal 0-0
L H Everton Everton 0-2
L H Manchester City Manchester City 1-2
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 1.6 GA
L A Leeds United Leeds United 1-3
W A Brentford Brentford 2-0
L A Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 0-1
D A Wrexham Wrexham 3-3
W A West Ham United West Ham United 2-1
2W 1D 2L
1.6 GF · 1 GA
L A Leeds United Leeds United 1-3
D H Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1
W H Ferencvárosi Ferencvárosi 4-0
W A Brentford Brentford 2-0
L A Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 0-1
Arsenal Arsenal
4W 1D 0L
2.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Leeds United Leeds United 4-0
W A Inter Inter 3-1
D A Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-0
W A Chelsea Chelsea 3-2
W A Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-1
3W 1D 1L
1.8 GF · 1 GA
W H Sunderland Sunderland 3-0
W H Chelsea Chelsea 1-0
W H Kairat Kairat 3-2
L H Manchester United Manchester United 2-3
D H Liverpool Liverpool 0-0
4W 1D 0L
2.8 GF · 0.8 GA
W A Leeds United Leeds United 4-0
W A Inter Inter 3-1
D A Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-0
W A Chelsea Chelsea 3-2
W A Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-1
4W 0D 1L
2.6 GF · 1 GA
W H Sunderland Sunderland 3-0
W H Chelsea Chelsea 1-0
W A Leeds United Leeds United 4-0
W H Kairat Kairat 3-2
L H Manchester United Manchester United 2-3

Sidelined Players

Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 4 out
Eric da Silva Moreira
Eric da Silva Moreira
injury
Nicolò Savona
Nicolò Savona
injury
John Victor 
John Victor 
injury
Chris Wood 
Chris Wood 
injury
Arsenal Arsenal 6 out
Mikel Merino
Mikel Merino
injury
Bukayo Saka
Bukayo Saka
injury
Bukayo Saka
Bukayo Saka
injury
Mikel Merino
Mikel Merino
injury
Bukayo Saka
Bukayo Saka
injury

+1 more

Head-to-Head (Last 10)

Nottingham Forest
2
20%
Draws
2
20%
Arsenal
6
60%
Avg Goals
2.4
BTTS
20%

League Signals

Predictability
46%
LOW
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
23%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
56%

Final Words

Arsenal arrive in strong form with 4 wins from 5 games. The head-to-head favors Arsenal in recent meetings.