Value Assessment
Home Win
1.65
41% pred
-19.8%
Draw
3.92
30% pred
+4.6%
MARGINAL
Away Win
5.10
29% pred
+9.5%
VALUE
BTTS Yes
1.79
52%
BTTS No
Best Opportunity
VALUE
Away Win
@
5.10
+9.5% edge
29% probability
Expected value: +0.48 units per bet
Confidence
Medium
63%
Match Info
Kickoff
Sun, Jan 4 2026
·
15:00
Venue
St. James' Park
(Newcastle upon Tyne)
Competition
Premier League
·
20
Coaches
Eddie Howe
Newcastle United
Oliver Glasner
Crystal Palace
Referee
John Brooks
Related Coverage
Recent Form
Newcastle United
1W 1D 3L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
L
H
Brentford
2-3
Brentford
2-3
L
H
Aston Villa
0-2
Aston Villa
0-2
W
H
PSV
3-0
PSV
3-0
L
H
Manchester City
0-2
Manchester City
0-2
D
H
AFC Bournemouth
3-3
AFC Bournemouth
3-3
1W 1D 3L
1.6 GF · 2 GA
L
H
Brentford
2-3
Brentford
2-3
L
H
Aston Villa
0-2
Aston Villa
0-2
W
H
PSV
3-0
PSV
3-0
L
H
Manchester City
0-2
Manchester City
0-2
D
H
AFC Bournemouth
3-3
AFC Bournemouth
3-3
1W 2D 2L
1.2 GF · 1.8 GA
L
A
Manchester City
1-3
Manchester City
1-3
L
A
Liverpool
1-4
Liverpool
1-4
D
A
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
D
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-0
W
A
Burnley
3-1
Burnley
3-1
0W 1D 4L
1 GF · 2.6 GA
L
H
Brentford
2-3
Brentford
2-3
L
A
Manchester City
1-3
Manchester City
1-3
L
A
Liverpool
1-4
Liverpool
1-4
D
A
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
L
H
Aston Villa
0-2
Aston Villa
0-2
Crystal Palace
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0
D
A
Nottingham Forest
1-1
Nottingham Forest
1-1
L
A
Sunderland
1-2
Sunderland
1-2
L
A
Macclesfield
1-2
Macclesfield
1-2
L
A
Newcastle United
0-2
Newcastle United
0-2
0W 3D 2L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
L
H
Chelsea
1-3
Chelsea
1-3
D
H
Aston Villa
0-0
Aston Villa
0-0
D
H
Fulham
1-1
Fulham
1-1
L
H
Tottenham Hotspur
0-1
Tottenham Hotspur
0-1
D
H
KuPS
2-2
KuPS
2-2
1W 1D 3L
0.8 GF · 1.4 GA
W
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0
D
A
Nottingham Forest
1-1
Nottingham Forest
1-1
L
A
Sunderland
1-2
Sunderland
1-2
L
A
Macclesfield
1-2
Macclesfield
1-2
L
A
Newcastle United
0-2
Newcastle United
0-2
1W 1D 3L
1 GF · 1.6 GA
W
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0
D
A
Nottingham Forest
1-1
Nottingham Forest
1-1
L
H
Chelsea
1-3
Chelsea
1-3
L
A
Sunderland
1-2
Sunderland
1-2
L
A
Macclesfield
1-2
Macclesfield
1-2
Sidelined Players
Newcastle United
5 out
Emil Krafth
suspended
Tino Livramento
injury
Fabian Schär
injury
Sven Botman
injury
Joelinton
injury
Crystal Palace
5 out
Rob Holding
suspended
Caleb Kporha
injury
Jean-Philippe Mateta
injury
Daichi Kamada
injury
Eddie Nketiah
injury
Head-to-Head (Last 10)
Newcastle United
1
10%
Draws
5
50%
Crystal Palace
4
40%
Avg Goals
1.8
BTTS
20%
League Signals
Predictability
46%
LOW
Home Bias
+5%
MODERATE
Avg Goals
2.9
MEDIUM
Draw Rate
23%
BTTS
54%
Over 2.5
56%
Final Words
Newcastle United have struggled recently, winning just 0 of their last 5 matches. Crystal Palace have been inconsistent, managing just 1 win in their last 5. The head-to-head favors Crystal Palace in recent meetings.